The Rams play the 49ers with a lot of starters sitting for that game so since there aren’t any props available for that specific game here are some of my favorites for Week 18. Here are some of the prop bets you can find at DraftKings Sportsbook for the games.
Buccaneers QB Baker Mayfield, over 223.5 passing yards
Everything is on the line for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Baker Mayfield knows how important this game is here in week 18 versus a weaker Carolina Panthers team. The Buccaneers essentially need to win to win the division title. They get to play the worst team in the NFL to do it.
I like the Baker Mayfield over for yards prop here. This is the reason, the Panthers defense has been a tad scary at times but Baker has throws from almost 300 yards in three straight games. The team knows they need to go for the jugular early on the road. I expect Mayfield to hit this number fairly easily especially with the wideouts he has to throw to.
Mayfield is one of the betting odds favorites to win Comeback Player of the Year, this is his time to get it done and send Tampa back to the postseason. I do not expect him to blow this opportunity.
Bears QB Justin Fields, over 198.5 passing yards
The situation with the Bears is far less dire unless you are Justin Fields. This could be the last time he ever suits up as the Bears starting quarterback. We have no idea what the future holds and we cannot rule out that a team with the number one overall pick will pass up two of the top quarterback options in the draft to hang onto Fields. However, Fields knows this could be it and he’s going to want to leave it all out on the field in this one.
Teams that have nothing to lose and everything to gain are dangerous. Fields has gone over this total in three of his last five games. I think Fields and the Bears have one goal in mind this Sunday and its to knock their rival Packers on their own home field out of the playoffs. In order for the Bears to do such a thing they will need all hands on deck but more importantly their quarterback to attack that Packers defense. We watched Bryce Young throw for over 300 yards against this defense, why can’t Fields?
I’m taking Fields over on his yards with confidence. This feels like a game where he is just going to go nuclear in.
Titans RB Derrick Henry, over 49.5 rushing yards
Derrick Henry grew up 24 miles north of Jacksonville and he has a chance in potentially his final game as a Tennessee Titan to eliminate the Jaguars from playoff contention this Sunday. Henry has 270 carries for 1,411 yards and 16 touchdowns versus the Jaguars in his career. This could be the last time he plays against them as a Titan, this is another one of those instances I wouldn’t be surprised to see Henry turn back the clock.
Henry only received 10 carries in the last game he faced the Jaguars. This will be different, the Titans have nothing to lose but if they can knock out a division rival they will certainly want to do that. Henry has only hit this total in 2 of his last 5 games. It’s worth mentioning though the gravity that this final game as a member of the organization that drafted him potentially holds is enough to bring out a fire here. Mike Vrabel isn’t trying to lose and he made that clear in his latest presser. He is going to know the best way to best the Jaguars is to control the time of possession and use Henry to do it.
I get the resume this season isn’t great, he’s been very inconsistent but this feels like a game he definitely gets 50 rushing yards in.
BONUS: Cardinals RB James Conner, over 71.5 rushing yards
The Cardinals like some of the other options get to play spoiler this week and end the Seahawks aka their NFC rival’s season. James Conner has been great this year and averages more yards after contact per carry. Still, the Seahawks run defense has been horrendous as of late. They have allowed the second-most yards per carry over the last six games.
You know Jonathan Gannon is all in on winning down the stretch here, they went into Philadelphia and out gunned Jalen Hurts and the Eagles. The Seahawks are desperate for a win but it doesn’t matter, I think this is a disastrous matchup for them and I think Conner is in for a massive day. They are going to need him to complete the upset and I think the coaching staff is well aware of that. Conner averages around 17 touches per game, I don’t see that not amounting to more than 71 yards. Go with the over.