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Rams playoff rooting guide for the final 3-game stretch

Here’s how the Rams can get to the playoffs based on how the next 3 weeks play out

Washington Commanders v Los Angeles Rams Photo by Harry How/Getty Images

The Los Angeles Rams are 7-7 following their win over the Commanders at home. The team is 4-1 since the bye and are now all of a sudden the seventh-seed in the playoffs and one of the league’s scariest teams in December.

The Rams have turned their season around from 3-6 to 7-7 but they only have three games left and have plenty of teams breathing down their neck.

According to the NY Times interaction playoff simulation, the Rams currently have a now 49-percent chance of making the playoffs following what transpired on Sunday. Keep in mind, this is a predictive model that simulates games based on the model itself. It’s worth mentioning a few weeks ago it was sitting at 17 percent.

Here are several scenarios in which the L.A. Rams can complete a 3-6 turnaround into a playoff berth (playoff odds in parentheses):

10-7 (Run the table)

Win vs. Saints (73%)

Win vs. Giants (95%)

Win vs. 49ers (100%)

9-8 (2-1 the rest of the way - Loss vs. 49ers)

Win vs. Saints (73%)

Loss vs. 49ers (92%)

9-8 (2-1 the rest of the way - Loss vs. Saints)

Loss vs. Saints (11%)

Win vs. Giants (14%)

Win vs. 49ers (75%)

9-8 (2-1 the rest of the way - Loss vs. Giants)

Win vs. Saints (73%)

Loss vs. Giants (25%)

Win vs. 49ers (92%)

8-9 (1-2 the rest of the way - Loss vs. Saints & 49ers)

Loss vs. Saints (11%)

Win vs. Giants (17%)

Loss vs. 49ers (5%)

8-9 (1-2 the rest of the way - Loss vs. Giants & 49ers)

Win vs. Saints (73%)

Loss vs. Giants (25%)

Loss vs. 49ers (14%)

8-9 (1-2 the rest of the way - Loss vs. Giants & Saints)

Loss vs. Saints (11%)

Loss vs. Giants (1%)

Win vs. 49ers (6%)

ESPN Analytics Matchup Predictor:

Rams have a 60.1% chance of beating the Saints

Rams have a 81.9% chance of beating the Giants

49ers have a 74.4% chance of beating the Rams

Here’s your weekly rooting guide if you want the Rams to get into the playoffs. This is of course the perfect scenario for each game the rest of the way. The percentages only reflect the odds if the Rams win their game. The games are ranked based on importance and impact for the Rams odds.

Week 16: 49% chance going into the week

  1. Rams victory over Saints (73%)
  2. Titans victory over Seahawks (79%)
  3. Panthers victory over Packers (79%)
  4. Lions victory over Vikings (76%)
  5. Cardinals victory over Bears (76%)
  6. Colts victory over Falcons (74%)
  7. Eagles victory over Giants (74%)

Week 17: 73% chance going into the week

  1. Rams victory over Giants (93%)
  2. Steelers victory over Seahawks (99%)
  3. Vikings victory over Packers (94%)

Week 18: 93% chance going into the week

  1. Rams victory over 49ers (100%)

IF the Rams lose (92%):

  1. Cardinals victory over Seahawks (98%)
  2. Bears victory over Packers (95%)
  3. Lions victory over Vikings (94%)

The Rams are in a great position right now after a dream of a scenario unfolding in week 15. Sure, the Eagles winning would have made things way better for the Rams and set up a easier clinching scenario in week 17. However, the Rams still always knew the assignment and the mission ahead. They were to win the next two games for sure and if they win out they are in. So, the Rams cannot make the playoffs at 7-10 but that’s not news to anyone. They can make it at 8-9 but you would need a lot of help and 8-9 would entail the Rams to lose three of their last five games of the year which is hard to imagine.

In case you really don’t have any faith in the Rams winning week 18 like I do against the 49ers. Here are the scenarios left on the table for the Rams to clinch a playoff berth before week 18:

1st Scenario

  • 2-0 vs. Saints and Giants
  • Lions win in week 16 over the Vikings
  • Seahawks lose either of the Titans or Steelers games

2nd Scenario

  • 2-0 vs. Saints and Giants
  • Lions win in week 16 over the Vikings
  • Panthers win in week 16 over the Packers
  • Packers win in week 17 over the Vikings