The Green Bay Packers lost a nail-biter to the New York Giants on Monday night, meaning that the Los Angeles Rams’ odds of making the playoffs got slightly better this week. According to the NYTimes NFL playoff odds, the L.A. Rams now sit at 37% following Monday night’s results. The San Francisco 49ers did not officially clinch the NFC West title yet, but did become the first team to clinch a playoff berth.
It would require the 49ers losing out and the Rams winning out for there to be even a sliver of a chance for L.A. to win the division title. The Seattle Seahawks can’t win the division, as they’ve been swept by both San Francisco and L.A..
Among NFC wild card teams, the Rams 37% odds still falls behind the 99-100% chances of the Cowboys and Eagles (one of those two teams will get a wild card), the 62% odds of the Vikings, and 50% for the Packers. Because Green Bay beat L.A. head-to-head, the Rams will need a better record than the Packers if it comes down to one of those two teams for the final wild card berth.
In the NFC South, there are three 6-7 teams, the Falcons, Bucs, and Saints. Those teams have slightly higher odds to make the playoffs because there may not be a winning team in the NFC South. The Rams play a pivotal game against the Saints in two weeks, so that could determine who gets the head-to-head advantage for a team out of the NFC South.
Rams playoff chances moved from 33% to 38% with the Giants win.— Blaine Grisak (@bgrisakTST) December 12, 2023
Packers still hold the tiebreaker. Gotta take care of your own business. It's that simple.
The Rams remaining four games are at home against the Commanders and Saints, then on the road against the Giants and 49ers.
The Packers are at home against the Bucs, on the road against the Panthers and Vikings, then at home against the Bears.
The Vikings are away at the Bengals this week, then at home for Lions and Packers, then on the road against the Lions.
The Saints have a home game against the Giants, then at Rams, at Bucs, home against Falcons.
The Falcons are at the Panthers, home against the Colts, then away to Bears and Saints.
The Bucs go to the Packers, then home against Jaguars, Saints, then on the road against the Panthers in the finale.
The Seahawks have the Eagles at home, Titans on the road, Steelers at home, and Cardinals on the road.
Those are the 6-7 and 7-6 teams in the NFC. They will get two wild card spots after the second place team in the NFC East. So if, for example, the Falcons win the NFC South, then it could come down to the Vikings, Seahawks, Packers, Saints, Bucs, and Rams for two playoff spots. Who do you think will come out of it?