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Rams playoff rooting guide for the final 4-game stretch

Do you want the Rams to make the playoffs? Well, this is how they can do it even after dropping the Ravens game.

Los Angeles Rams v Baltimore Ravens Photo by Michael Owens/Getty Images

The Los Angeles Rams are 6-7 following a brutal overtime loss to the Baltimore Ravens on the road. The team is 3-1 since the bye and have been hitting their stride in the last few weeks. While the loss certainly stings, the schedule is about to ease up in the next three games as the Rams will face three straight below .500 teams.

The Rams have turned their season around but they don’t have many more games left and their margin for error is very slim.

According to the NY Times interaction playoff simulation, the Rams currently have a now 37-percent chance of making the playoffs following what transpired on Sunday. Keep in mind, this is a predictive model that simulates games based on the model itself. It’s worth mentioning it was at 33-percent before the Packers dropped their game on Monday Night Football to the Giants.

Here are several scenarios in which the L.A. Rams can complete a 3-6 turnaround into a playoff berth (playoff odds in parentheses):

10-7 (Run the table)

Win vs. Commanders (48%)

Win vs. Saints (66%)

Win vs. Giants (85%)

Win vs. 49ers (>99%)

9-8 (3-1 the rest of the way - Loss vs. 49ers)

Win vs. Commanders (48%)

Win vs. Saints (66%)

Win vs. Giants (85%)

Loss vs. 49ers (82%)

9-8 (3-1 the rest of the way - Loss vs. Saints)

Win vs. Commanders (48%)

Loss vs. Saints (11%)

Win vs. Giants (15%)

Win vs. 49ers (70%)

9-8 (3-1 the rest of the way - Loss vs. Commanders)

Loss vs. Commanders (12%)

Win vs. Saints (16%)

Win vs. Giants (23%)

Win vs. 49ers (80%)

9-8 (3-1 the rest of the way - Loss vs. Giants)

Win vs. Commanders (48%)

Win vs. Saints (66%)

Loss vs. Giants (24%)

Win vs. 49ers (81%)

8-9 (2-2 the rest of the way - Loss vs. Saints & 49ers)

Win vs. Commanders (42%)

Loss vs. Saints (9%)

Win vs. Giants (15%)

Loss vs. 49ers (5%)

8-9 (2-2 the rest of the way - Loss vs. Commanders & 49ers)

Loss vs. Commanders (12%)

Win vs. Saints (16%)

Win vs. Giants (23%)

Loss vs. 49ers (12%)

8-9 (2-2 the rest of the way - Loss vs. Giants & 49ers)

Win vs. Commanders (48%)

Win vs. Saints (66%)

Loss vs. Giants (24%)

Loss vs. 49ers (12%)

8-9 (2-2 the rest of the way - Loss vs. Commanders & Giants)

Loss vs. Commanders (12%)

Win vs. Saints (16%)

Loss vs. Giants (2%)

Win vs. 49ers (15%)

8-9 (2-2 the rest of the way - Loss vs. Saints & Giants)

Win vs. Commanders (48%)

Loss vs. Saints (9%)

Loss vs. Giants (1%)

Win vs. 49ers (6%)

8-9 (2-2 the rest of the way - Loss vs. Commanders & Saints)

Loss vs. Commanders (12%)

Loss vs. Saints (1%)

Win vs. Giants (1%)

Win vs. 49ers (7%)

ESPN Analytics Matchup Predictor:

Rams have a 75.3% chance of beating the Commanders

Rams have a 62.5% chance of beating the Saints

Rams have a 82.3% chance of beating the Giants

49ers have a 73.4% chance of beating the Rams

Here’s your weekly rooting guide if you want the Rams to get into the playoffs. This is of course the perfect scenario for each game the rest of the way. The percentages only reflect the odds if the Rams win their game. The games are ranked based on importance and impact for the Rams odds.

Week 15: 37% chance going into the week

  1. Rams victory over Commanders (48%)
  2. Buccaneers victory over Packers (52%)
  3. Bengals victory over Vikings (51%)
  4. Eagles victory over Seahawks (50%)
  5. Panthers victory over Falcons (49%)
  6. Broncos victory over Lions (48%)

Week 16: 48% chance going into the week

  1. Rams victory over Saints (66%)
  2. Panthers victory over Packers (75%)
  3. Lions victory over Vikings (71%)
  4. Titans victory over Seahawks (68%)
  5. Colts victory over Falcons (68%)
  6. Eagles victory over Giants (68%)

Week 17: 66% chance going into the week

  1. Rams victory over Giants (85%)
  2. Steelers victory over Seahawks (88%)
  3. Bears victory over Falcons (85%)
  4. Cowboys victory over Lions (85%)
  5. Packers victory over Vikings (85%)

Week 18: 85% chance going into the week

  1. Rams victory over 49ers (>99%)

IF the Rams lose (82%):

  1. Bears victory over Packers (92%)
  2. Lions victory over Vikings (87%)
  3. Cardinals victory over Seahawks (86%)
  4. Saints victory over Falcons (83%)
  5. Buccaneers victory over Panthers (83%)

The Rams have good positioning right now even at 6-7 but they must win at least three of their next four. If they win out they are almost 100-percent in. If they don’t beat the 49ers they still have a pretty big shot which is over 80-percent. They will want some help but they won’t need it if they take care of business. There are four more games, we’ll find out soon enough if the Rams will be playing in the postseason.