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Jared Goff’s stats, year over year

How big was the difference of Goff’s performance, just in the numbers, during his down season in 2019?

Arizona Cardinals v Los Angeles Rams Photo by Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images

Jared Goff had a really solid MVP case in 2018 if not for Patrick Mahomes. While an increase in opportunities can often lead to a decrease in efficiency, Goff saw improvements across the board in 2018 after getting 84 more pass attempts than the year prior.

2017: 296-477, 62.1%, 3,804 yards, 28 TD, 7 INT, 8 Y/A, 100.5 rating, 52.1 QBR

2018: 364-561, 64.9%, 4,688 yards, 32 TD, 12 INT, 8.4 Y/A, 101.1 rating, 63.1 QBR

What was the most surprising to me was the increase in yards per attempt even though he took way more attempts. You would typically expect that number to come down considerably (Ben Roethlisberger comes to mind, he posted 8.9 Y/A in his first two seasons, but with under 300 attempts in each) but under Goff’s control of the offense, his yards per attempt went up by .4.

Goff’s net Y/A (includes sack rates) went up from 7.24 to 7.52 also, though his adjusted net Y/A (sacks, touchdowns, interceptions incorporated) dipped slightly from 7.72 to 7.69.

All told, Goff was 24, had two 100 passer rating seasons under his belt, and went to the Super Bowl. As you know, the follow-up left improvement to be desired.

2018: 364-561, 64.9%, 4,688 yards, 32 TD, 12 INT, 8.4 Y/A, 101.1 rating, 63.1 QBR

2019: 394-626, 62.9%, 4,638 yards, 22 TD, 16 INT, 7.4 Y/A, 86.5 rating, 48.5 QBR

In spite of throwing 65 more attempts than 2018, Goff had fewer passing yards and way fewer touchdowns. And if you look at it compared to 2017, Goff attempted 142 more passes last year but scored six fewer touchdowns while throwing nine more interceptions.

But the reasons for Goff’s disappointing 2019 campaign are the same as what led to his near-MVP campaign: the change in quality of the players around him.

We don’t know yet if 2019 is the floor for Goff or only the middle road. From 2017-2018, he was flying with a great offensive line, a healthy Todd Gurley, and for the Super Bowl season, a healthy Brandin Cooks. (But without Cooper Kupp.) Then last season, Rodger Saffold and John Sullivan were gone from the line, the other three starters underwhelmed, Cooks was never himself, and Gurley had potentially already gone past his prime. These are monumental differences for an offense and a quarterback.

The hope for Goff may now lie in the hope for Cam Akers, a rejuvenated Andrew Whitworth, a turnaround for some of the young offensive linemen, and perhaps an unexpected hot streak from Van Jefferson or one of the other skill players besides the usual suspects. That’s not too unrealistic, and the change in offensive coordinators will also have plenty to say about what’s next for Goff.

The difference in efficiency doesn’t have to be as staggering as it was from 2018 to 2019, but it should at least be headed back in the right direction.