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We've had two major mocks in the last two days with NFL.com's Daniel Jeremiah mocking Memphis QB Paxton Lynch to the Rams yesterday and ESPN's Mel Kiper, Jr., mocking Ole Miss WR Laquon Treadwell to the Rams today. Between the two, we got the main end result of nearly every mock thus far: either a QB or Treadwell.
In fact, out of the 30 major mock drafts we've covered thus far on TST, 27 of them have had the Rams selecting either a QB or Treadwell at 15:
First Round Selections | |||
Player | POS | School | Mock% (30 total) |
Paxton Lynch | QB | Memphis | 36.67% (11) |
Laquon Treadwell | WR | Ole Miss | 23.33% (7) |
Carson Wentz | QB | North Dakota St. | 16.67% (5) |
Jared Goff | QB | Cal | 10.00% (3) |
Corey Coleman | WR | Baylor | 3.33% (1) |
Noah Spence | DE | Eastern Kentucky | 3.33% (1) |
Connor Cook | QB | Michigan St. | 3.33% (1) |
Michael Thomas | WR | Ohio St. | 3.33% (1) |
Now, though, we've got another four-rounder from NFL.com's Chad Reuter in an update to his effort from more than two weeks ago that set his baseline for the Rams. As a brief note, here's who he had the Rams taking in that one:
Rd | Pick (Ovr) | Player | POS | School |
1 | 15 (15) | Paxton Lynch | QB | Memphis |
2 | 10 (43) | Kendall Fuller | CB | Virginia Tech |
2 | 12 (45) | Tyler Boyd | WR | Pittsburgh |
3 | 13 (76) | Jack Allen | C | Michigan St. |
4 | 12 (107*) | Joe Schobert | OLB | Wisconsin |
* - There may be compensatory picks awarded at the end of the third round that would result in a later selection overall for the Rams in the 4th round and beyond.
His updated four-rounder out now has a bit of a nightmare scenario for the Rams. Take a look at his top 14:
# | Team | Pick | POS | School |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Tennessee Titans | Laremy Tunsil | OT | Ole Miss |
2 | Cleveland Browns | Jared Goff | QB | California |
3 | San Diego Chargers | Carson Wentz | QB | North Dakota St. |
4 | Dallas Cowboys | Joey Bosa | DE | Ohio St. |
5 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Jalen Ramsey | CB | Florida St. |
6 | Baltimore Ravens | Myles Jack | OLB | UCLA |
7 | San Francisco 49ers | Laquon Treadwell | WR | Ole Miss |
8 | Miami Dolphins | DeForest Buckner | DE | Oregon |
9 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Mackensie Alexander | CB | Clemson |
10 | New York Giants | Andrew Billings | OT | Baylor |
11 | Chicago Bears | Jaylon Smith | OLB | Notre Dame |
12 | New Orleans Saints | Noah Spence | DE/OLB | Eastern Kentucky |
13 | Philadelphia Eagles | Paxton Lynch | QB | Memphis |
14 | Oakland Raiders | Ronnie Stanley | OT | Notre Dame |
With the Chargers dipping into the QB pool with Wentz and the Eagles snagging Lynch, that's the three major QB prospects and Treadwell all gone at 15.
It's worth coming up with a Plan, uh, E at the pre-combine stage. What do the Rams do when faced with the fourth QB or second WR prospect by most estimations? Do they look elsewhere? Trade down? Should they trade up to avoid this issue? I'll let yall get at it in the comments.
For Reuter's part, he has the Rams falling back on:
Vernon Hargreaves III (CB, Florida)
The Rams might end up replacing free agent and former Gator Janoris Jenkins (who finished his career at North Alabama) with a similar player in Hargreaves.
You could do worse by BPA standards. Of course, the question is how well BPA has actually served the Rams since the RGIII trade. In this case, you're (a) replacing a former Fisher draft pick and (b) adding to the defense which doesn't really seem to solve much of anything overall. Of course, that's the central dilemma for the Rams overall in 2016, so again, you could do worse.
On to the second round.
So without Paxton Lynch from his old mock, Reuter has the Rams grabbing a QB to lead off their second round pair of picks:
Connor Cook (QB, Michigan St.)
This is perhaps the "You Could Do Worse" mock.
The real question for me, big picture, is what Cook brings to the table that Sean Mannion or Nick Foles don't. I certainly don't have an answer for that.
Reuter's choice for the Rams two picks later remains the same:
Tyler Boyd (WR, Pittsburgh)
There is a question to be raised here, again big picture, about how to improve this team. Here, you've got the third CB, the fourth QB and the fifth WR. Is that going to catapult this team forward? Even if you've got Hargreaves atop your CB board, is that the formula that changes course for the Rams? It's tough to see it as such.
Into the third round, Reuter flips the Rams' center selection from Michigan State C Jack Allen to:
Nick Martin (C, Notre Dame)
Nick is the younger brother of two-time Pro Bowler Dallas Cowboys G Zack Martin, the 16th overall pick in the 2014 NFL Draft. For his part, Nick's a fine prospect, with the versatility to slide to either side at guard. A knee injury in 2013 is probably the biggest issue holding him back; it'll be a major point of concern at next week's combine.
To wrap up his Rams class in this mock, he has the fourth-rounder as:
K.J. Dillon (SS, West Virginia)
IF YOU'RE NOT SAVING YOUR MOST INSULTING INVECTIVE FOR FOURTH-ROUND PROSPECT BATTLES, I AINT EVEN GOT TIME FOR YOU.
So check out the mock and especially the candidates who got left out that Reuter lists at the end and let's talk some Rams draft.