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Welcome to the first week of NFL football and my start or sit column.
I've done this for a few years, but I've got a new addition with the FanDuel picks at the bottom. For normal leagues, I'll pick some players outside the top 10 and 15 who I think will play well as well as some higher rated players who I see underachieving using the ESPN rankings. Let's get to it.
- Denver Broncos QB Peyton Manning: I am in the "prove it" stage with Peyton. He's also facing a tough defense in the Baltimore Ravens who have a now healthy secondary.
- Indianapolis Colts QB Andrew Luck: The Buffalo Bills are a top 5 defense. You may not be able to bench him, but I would temper expectations.
- New Orleans Saints QB Drew Brees: He has a few things going against him on the road where he plays much worse than home as well as playing a top 10 defense in the Arizona Cardinals.
- Buffalo Bills RB LeSean McCoy: He has been injured and is to much of a gamble this week.
- Baltimore Ravens RB Justin Forsett: I see the Broncos owning a top 5 defense and not sure how Forsett will fit into the Ravens' new scheme.
- Washington RB Alfred Morris: He does not play passing downs, and I expect them to fall behind which will limit his carries.
- New York Giants WR Odell Beckham, Jr.: He has been the toast of the offseason, but the Dallas Cowboys were pretty solid against receivers last year.
- Chicago Bears WR Alshon Jeffrey: We have not seen him all preseason, and Bears Head Coach John Fox is also a tad sketchy with injuries. I would stay away.
- San Diego Chargers WR Keenan Allen: I just do not yet see him as a WR2 based on the match-up against the Detroit Lions and his projected opportunities.
- Seattle Seahawks TE Jimmy Graham: The St. Louis Rams were top 5 defending the tight end last year, and I expect the same starting 2015.
- Miami Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill: I expect big things all season from this QB. In what will be a theme all season, I will pick against most NFC East teams at QB.
- Philadelphia Eagles QB Sam Bradford: Ride the train while he is upright in an awesome match-up.
- Arizona Cardinals QB Carson Palmer: I expect the Saints to be a bottom 5 defense. Easy peasy.
- Carolina Panthers RB Jonathan Stewart: The Jacksonville Jaguars have a decent defense, but I expect a full dose of Stewart due to the lack of receiver options.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB Doug Martin: I am drinking the preseason kool aid here as I saw a different RB than past few years.
- Dallas Cowboys RB Darren McFadden: He has been named the starter, and I think he scores and puts up 75 yards in his 15 touches.
- Houston Texans WR DeAndre Hopkins: The Kansas City Chiefs are missing their best CB and best DT in Sean Smith and Dontari Poe. Also, Texans QB Brian Hoyer has shown he can feed a WR1.
- Jacksonville Jaguars WR Allen Robinson: I expect at least 12 targets against an injured Carolina secondary.
- Miami Dolphins WR Jarvis Landry: This is the start of his breakout year and becoming an every week starter.
- Tennessee Titans TE Delanie Walker: He is their best mid range passing option. I see rookie QB Marcus Mariota leaning on him big time.
Here are my FanDuel picks for the week where I will give some higher and lower salaries I like at each position:
- Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers, $9,700: The Bears are just awful. If you are going to pay, pay here.
- Miami Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill, $8,000: See above. Another easy secondary to play against.
- Arizona Cardinals QB Carson Palmer, $7,700: The Saints are easy pickings.
- Philadelphia Eagles QB Sam Bradford, $7,500: This may be the most-picked QB this week.
- Cincinnati Bengals RB Jeremy Hill, $8,600: The Oakland Raiders looked improved in the preseason, but I have to see it in real games.
- Miami Dolphins RB Lamar Miller, $7,300: There are not many options behind him right now.
- Carolina Panthers RB Jonathan Stewart, $7,100: He will be the bell cow.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB Doug Martin $6,900- I think he gets a real shot and makes the most of it
- New York Jets RB Chris Ivory, $6,400: The Browns are decent, but expect at least 15-18 touches to not have Jets QB Ryan Fitzpatrick throwing it all over the place.
- Cleveland Browns RB Duke Johnson, $5,800: He has been cleared for contact and will be a nice cheap filler.
- Atlanta Falcons WR Julio Jones, $9,000: I expect an huge day that's worth the price.
- Houston Texans WR DeAndre Hopkins, $7,800: I see double digit targets and a touchdown.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR Vincent Jackson, $7,200: He had similar stats to fellow Bucs WR Mike Evans. With Evans a questionable injury decision, VJax should soak up the targets.
- Jacksonville Jaguars WR Allen Robinson, $6,100: He should get all the targets with no Julius Thomas.
- Arizona Cardinals WR John Brown, $6,000: He spent the off season with his QB, Carson Palmer. I expect a very big season.
- Green Bay Packers WR Davante Adams, $5,500: This is too easy, but if head-to-head just take it and run.
- Philadelphia Eagles WR Nelson Agholor, $5,500: Playing a bad defense, this will be his cheapest week.
- Chicago Bears TE Martellus Bennett, $6,200: He is QB Jay Cutler's best option in a game they will have to pass.
- Tennessee Titans TE Delanie Walker, $5,400: I think he becomes QB Marcus Mariota's best friend.
Thank you for reading and have a great week, feel free to ask any questions here or on Twitter.