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2010 NFL Draft

Race to the bottom: Which teams are contending for the #1 pick in the draft?

Which NFL team will have the first overall pick in the 2010 draft?

by Carlos Osorio - AP

Which NFL team will have the first overall pick in the 2010 draft?

It's a Saturday morning and the St. Louis Rams are off this week. With a full day of college football, it's a great time to look at the second half of the NFL season and see who's in contention for the top draft picks. Lots more can happen in 8 more games, and 3k's mock draft generated just as much discussion for his final NFL results as the picks. So, let's take a look at the teams at the bottom of the league and see who could end up with their choice of talent come draft time.

Included here is a look at the average DVOA of each team's remaining opponents and rank of future schedule based on that number from Football Outsiders. We're also looking at individual games of note for each team.

0- and 1- win teams

Team Future Sched Rank
Cleveland -10.5% 27
Tennessee -1.0% 19
Kansas City -4.9% 24
Detroit 5.4% 10
Tampa Bay 14.3% 3
St. Louis 1.6% 15

 

It's not unthinkable that Tampa Bay could be the NFL's second winless team in two seasons. They still have to play New Orleans twice. Their remaining home games are against Green Bay, New Orleans, NY Jets and the Falcons. The weakest team they have remaining on the schedule is Seattle, but they're playing them at Qwest Field. Cleveland has games left against Detroit, Kansas City and Oakland, which should keep them out of contention for the #1 pick. To me, the Titans seem to be getting their act together, so a schedule against average opponents, and a game against the Rams, could net them a few more wins. The Rams have some nice homes games yet to play, and I like their chances against a Seahawks team reeling from injuries. Detroit could struggle too, but you have to think a healthy Stafford and Calvin Johson could do some damage to the Browns. I think KC can squeak out another win or two as well, maybe at home against the Bills and at Oakland.

2-win teams

Team Future Sched Rank
Oakland 3.2% 13
Washington 15.5% 2
Seattle -12.1% 30

 

Don't be surprised is Washington doesn't win any more games this season. They have two more games against the Cowboys and one more each with the Eagles and Giants. Those are just their division games. They also still have to play New Orleans, Denver and Atlanta. Their softest game is at Oakland, but I think the Raiders will likely win that one too. Speaking of the Raiders, they have games left against the Browns and the Chiefs to go with their Washington game. All three of those are toss ups. Seattle should pick up a home win against the Lions this week, and a home game against Tampa Bay should put them at 4 wins and out of top three pick range.

All of this could easily change. An injury here or there or even a fluky bounce could give one of these teams an extra win or two. Right now, I think you'll see Tampa Bay, Detroit, Washington and St. Louis in the top four picks of the draft, in that order. Don't be surprised if the coin flip has something to say about draft order though with so many teams struggling this year.

6 comments  |  0 recs |

3k's 2010 Mock Draft, v2.0 (Nov. 4th)

This is often all you see of Ndamukong Suh - his arms and legs wrapped around the QB as the fumble he just caused goes bouncing away.  Will he be the #1 overall pick?  Will he be the Rams next 1st round D-lineman?  Will he both?!

More photos » by Jeff Roberson - AP

This is often all you see of Ndamukong Suh - his arms and legs wrapped around the QB as the fumble he just caused goes bouncing away. Will he be the #1 overall pick? Will he be the Rams next 1st round D-lineman? Will he both?!

  I dropped a quick mock draft after the 2009 draft, but quite a bit has changed.  After the fold, I've got my second mock draft.  Join me, shall you not?

 

Poll
If the Rams end up with the #1 overall pick, who should they pick?

  304 votes | Results

Continue reading this post »

61 comments  |  0 recs

Sniffing out Jake Locker

Am I the future of the St. Louis Rams?

More photos » by Paul Sakuma - AP

Am I the future of the St. Louis Rams?

This could be a number of teams in the NFL right now, but since the St. Louis Rams are expected to be looking for a quarterback, I think it stimulates some disucssion. From Mocking the Draft:

ESPN senior NFL writer Chris Mortensen reported on his Twitter page that one of the teams that could be looking for a quarterback has Locker tops on their early draft board.

That's Washington junior QB Jake Locker, btw. Locker has become the "hot" name in draft talk. Let's see how he fares against Cal and UCLA before we pin our future on him. I am curious as to whether or not it's the Rams who have Locker atop their draft board.

44 comments  |  0 recs |

2010 Mock Draft, round 1

Russell Okung, a senior offensive tackle for the Oklahoma State Cowboys, is considered one of the top tackles in the college ranks.

Russell Okung, a senior offensive tackle for the Oklahoma State Cowboys, is considered one of the top tackles in the college ranks.

  Well, the 2009 NFL Draft is over...which means the 2010 NFL Draft is right around the corner!

  Since 2010 mocks are already springing up (including Todd McShay's), I might as well throw mine out with some Ram-specific comments.

  My first 2010 NFL mock draft below the fold.

Continue reading this post »

28 comments  |  0 recs


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