I think all of us can agree that when a team drafts a player in the first round, they believe that player will become an elite Pro-Bowl talent. Snead and Fisher have done a very good job of this so far with our first round picks during their regime. Ogletree and Brockers will make the Pro Bowl this year -- you can take that to the bank. Tavon also has tremendous upside. I am no NFL scout, but neither are any of you which is why this site is so great...we can play "GM" to each other and voice our opinions. I personally believe that drafting a safety at 13 is a mistake. Let me be clear...safety is definitely a HUGE need, maybe even our biggest. BUT we will get more value drafting an elite corner (or even an Aaron Donald or Taylor Lewan if they were to slide) than reach for a safety. The only way I would condone this is by trading back to the mid 20's, picking up a 2nd rounder, and then taking a safety. Then and only then would need match value.
Here is where I want all of you who want Dix so badly to please defend him. When I watch the clips on him and then I watch plays made by Earl Thomas and Will Hill, it's not even close.
Whereas when I watch Gilbert highlights I can see a Janoris Jenkins type of corner. When I watch Dennard I can see the Revis in him. I only saw a third to half of Bama's games, but physically Dix cannot do the things that elite NFL safeties can do. He does not have their speed or hitting/tackling ability, and I doubt he has superior play recognition skills to the current best of the best.
Like all of you, I cannot wait for next Thursday and can't wait to see how it shakes out. I will be much happier if we draft corner at 13 and safety in round 2 or 3.