FanPost

Sam Bradford vs. OL and WR’s

Sam Bradford vs. OL and WR’s

I found a cool new premium stat over at Pro-Football Focus. It basically computes average time the QB has to stay in the pocket or get rid of the ball. It’s somewhat ironic because you have to find the best split in difference between holding the ball or getting rid of it.

What I mean is this, if you have 4 seconds of protection that also means the defense has 4 seconds to get to the QB and sack him. But he has four seconds to find a WR for a big play…you see the dilemma here. Let’s say your OL gives you for seconds but you WR’s never get open because of great secondary play, the QB ends up getting sacked even though he had great protection.

The stats below were produced Nov 2012, but I think they convey the meaning pretty well.

The first chart is the ranking of what relates to how good your OL is, or how well the QB can extend his time to throw. You’ll notice that Sam is at number 27 out of 33, which tells me that the OL was not functioning very well at all.

Rank

Name

Team

Drop backs

To Sack

1

Russell Wilson

SEA

274

4.05

2

Alex D. Smith

SF

244

4.03

3

Michael Vick

PHI

366

4.02

4

Jay Cutler

CHI

278

4.01

5

Josh Freeman

TB

274

3.87

6

John Skelton

ARZ

187

3.85

7

Matt Cassel

KC

260

3.81

8

Joe Flacco

BLT

299

3.68

9

Aaron Rodgers

GB

373

3.62

10

Matt Schaub

HST

260

3.61

11

Ryan Fitzpatrick

BUF

281

3.61

12

Matthew Stafford

DET

369

3.57

13

Andrew Luck

IND

371

3.39

14

Mark Sanchez

NYJ

291

3.34

15

Cam Newton

CAR

266

3.27

16

Tom Brady

NE

335

3.26

17

Christian Ponder

MIN

330

3.22

18

Tony Romo

DAL

335

3.11

19

Eli Manning

NYG

331

3.04

20

Andy Dalton

CIN

315

3.02

21

Matt Hasselbeck

TEN

240

2.94

22

Robert Griffin III

WAS

309

2.85

23

Drew Brees

NO

357

2.85

24

Matt Ryan

ATL

331

2.84

25

Brandon Weeden

CLV

356

2.84

26

Carson Palmer

OAK

347

2.67

27

Sam Bradford

SL

278

2.66

28

Ben Roethlisberger

PIT

316

2.56

29

Blaine Gabbert

JAX

271

2.51

30

Peyton Manning

DEN

304

2.5

31

Ryan Tannehill

MIA

261

2.48

32

Philip Rivers

SD

285

2.43

33

Kevin Kolb

ARZ

217

2.28

This next chart shows completion percentages and rank if the QB gets rid of the ball in less than 2.5 seconds. Sam is in the middle here at number 20, a completion percentage of 66.4%.

Rank

Name

Team

Drop
backs

%

Att.

Comp.

Comp
%

Sk

NFL
QB Rating

1

Matt Hasselbeck

TEN

153

63.8

151

95

62.9

3

80.6

2

Andy Dalton

CIN

195

61.9

193

130

67.4

2

93.7

3

Ryan Tannehill

MIA

157

60.2

152

88

57.9

5

67.5

4

Ryan Fitzpatrick

BUF

169

60.1

167

114

68.3

1

99.9

5

Tom Brady

NE

198

59.1

197

144

73.1

2

98.6

6

Blaine Gabbert

JAX

158

58.3

156

89

57.1

2

74.6

7

Carson Palmer

OAK

195

56.2

192

116

60.4

3

89.1

8

Matthew Stafford

DET

206

55.8

204

144

70.6

2

85.9

9

Peyton Manning

DEN

168

55.3

166

124

74.7

2

107.7

10

Joe Flacco

BLT

162

54.2

162

102

63

0

86.8

11

Jay Cutler

CHI

147

52.9

145

92

63.4

2

86.7

12

Tony Romo

DAL

177

52.8

175

127

72.6

2

91.6

13

John Skelton

ARZ

98

52.4

97

60

61.9

1

80.4

14

Matt Ryan

ATL

173

52.3

171

128

74.9

2

112.2

15

Robert Griffin III

WAS

161

52.1

157

113

72

4

98.6

16

Aaron Rodgers

GB

194

52

192

139

72.4

2

111.7

17

Eli Manning

NYG

172

52

172

111

64.5

0

93.8

18

Matt Schaub

HST

135

51.9

134

85

63.4

1

91.5

19

Christian Ponder

MIN

171

51.8

166

116

69.9

6

97.1

20

Sam Bradford

SL

141

50.7

140

93

66.4

1

82.2

21

Kevin Kolb

ARZ

110

50.7

109

67

61.5

1

83.8

22

Philip Rivers

SD

144

50.5

140

104

74.3

3

97.4

23

Ben Roethlisberger

PIT

159

50.3

156

118

75.6

4

111.8

24

Brandon Weeden

CLV

178

50

177

106

59.9

1

67.9

25

Drew Brees

NO

176

49.3

175

122

69.7

1

104.6

26

Mark Sanchez

NYJ

143

49.1

140

80

57.1

3

71.5

27

Alex D. Smith

SF

119

48.8

119

86

72.3

0

99.1

28

Matt Cassel

KC

125

48.1

123

85

69.1

2

80.7

29

Josh Freeman

TB

130

47.4

128

73

57

2

110.4

30

Russell Wilson

SEA

123

44.9

121

80

66.1

2

88.7

31

Andrew Luck

IND

151

40.7

150

88

58.7

1

83.9

32

Michael Vick

PHI

143

39.1

138

94

68.1

5

92.5

33

Cam Newton

CAR

94

35.3

94

55

58.5

0

61.4

Now conversely we look what can happen to the rankings when the QB holds on to the ball longer than 2.5 seconds. Sam’s completion percentage actually goes down 10 points to 56.1% and his number of sacks went from 1 to 26.

Rank

Name

Team

Drop
backs

%

Att.

Comp.

Comp
%

Sk

NFL
QB Rating

1

Cam Newton

CAR

172

64.7

140

79

56.4

20

89.1

2

Michael Vick

PHI

223

60.9

167

85

50.9

22

66.5

3

Andrew Luck

IND

220

59.3

182

102

56

19

76.7

4

Russell Wilson

SEA

151

55.1

113

65

57.5

13

85.9

5

Josh Freeman

TB

144

52.6

124

68

54.8

10

80.1

6

Matt Cassel

KC

135

51.9

107

57

53.3

14

58.4

7

Alex D. Smith

SF

125

51.2

90

59

65.6

24

106.2

8

Mark Sanchez

NYJ

148

50.9

131

64

48.9

15

74.8

9

Drew Brees

NO

181

50.7

165

87

52.7

15

87.5

10

Brandon Weeden

CLV

178

50

158

79

50

14

68.4

11

Ben Roethlisberger

PIT

157

49.7

137

82

59.9

15

92.6

12

Philip Rivers

SD

141

49.5

122

71

58.2

19

74.7

13

Sam Bradford

SL

137

49.3

107

60

56.1

26

84.1

14

Kevin Kolb

ARZ

107

49.3

74

42

56.8

33

89.4

15

Christian Ponder

MIN

159

48.2

118

66

55.9

19

60.7

16

Matt Schaub

HST

125

48.1

115

74

64.3

9

102.9

17

Aaron Rodgers

GB

179

48

133

80

60.2

27

102.8

18

Eli Manning

NYG

159

48

146

83

56.8

9

75.7

19

Robert Griffin III

WAS

148

47.9

103

59

57.3

19

88.5

20

Matt Ryan

ATL

158

47.7

128

78

60.9

17

90.6

21

John Skelton

ARZ

89

47.6

74

36

48.6

13

47.6

22

Tony Romo

DAL

158

47.2

142

84

59.2

13

71.3

23

Jay Cutler

CHI

131

47.1

96

52

54.2

27

83.3

24

Joe Flacco

BLT

137

45.8

114

63

55.3

19

83.6

25

Peyton Manning

DEN

136

44.7

125

79

63.2

9

110.5

26

Matthew Stafford

DET

163

44.2

140

76

54.3

14

80.3

27

Carson Palmer

OAK

152

43.8

137

85

62

12

82

28

Blaine Gabbert

JAX

113

41.7

89

53

59.6

19

85.1

29

Tom Brady

NE

137

40.9

122

65

53.3

13

104.7

30

Ryan Fitzpatrick

BUF

112

39.9

88

44

50

9

60.3

31

Ryan Tannehill

MIA

104

39.8

89

54

60.7

11

96.5

32

Andy Dalton

CIN

119

37.8

88

52

59.1

23

75.4

33

Matt Hasselbeck

TEN

87

36.3

69

43

62.3

13

82.8

So essentially that shows just how important having WR’s that can get open in that 2.5 second window are. With a new revamped OL that can hold rushers for at least 2.5 seconds, along with speedy receivers that can actually get open; the offense should be a lot more productive than 2011 was for sure. We can only hope the rooks make a big impact right away.

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