Rams Draft Results: Rookie Expectations For Brian Quick

Feb 26, 2012; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Appalachian State wide receiver Brian Quick participates in a catch and run drill during the NFL Combine at Lucas Oil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brian Spurlock-US PRESSWIRE

Every receiver's situation is unique. What round they're drafted in matters, but not as much as the players around them, their coaches and the team they play for. Nevertheless, a quick historical look at what kind of results 2nd-round receivers have in their rookie seasons does at least make for a starting point in the discussion of what the St. Louis Rams might expect from Brian Quick, the wide receiver they selected with the first pick in the 2nd round of the draft.

The biggest question in attempting any futile prediction, is to ask how many passes that player will catch. Without a bona fide No. 1 receiver, I would expect Sam Bradford's throws to be spread around, especially since the focus of the offense is going to be on the two running backs.

Somewhere between 45-55 receptions is reasonable for Quick. Plaxico Burress caught 45 with the Jets' offense last year. Tight end Dustin Keller led with 61 receptions.

Among 2nd-round picks since 1994, only one has topped 1,000 yards. That was Anquan Boldin who caught 101 passes in his rookie year, 2003. He's an outlier. Below, is the list of all receivers with at east 45 receptions since 1994.

Games Receiving
Rk Player Year Draft Tm G GS Rec Yds Y/R TD Y/G
1 Anquan Boldin 2003 2-54 ARI 16 16 101 1377 13.63 8 86.1
2 Kevin Johnson 1999 2-32 CLE 16 16 66 986 14.94 8 61.6
3 Eddie Royal 2008 2-42 DEN 15 15 91 980 10.77 5 65.3
4 DeSean Jackson 2008 2-49 PHI 16 15 62 912 14.71 2 57.0
5 Chris Chambers 2001 2-52 MIA 16 7 48 883 18.40 7 55.2
6 Frank Sanders 1995 2-47 ARI 16 15 52 883 16.98 2 55.2
7 Darnay Scott 1994 2-30 CIN 16 12 46 866 18.83 5 54.1
8 Torrey Smith 2011 2-58 BAL 16 14 50 841 16.82 7 52.6
9 Keary Colbert 2004 2-62 CAR 15 15 47 754 16.04 5 50.3
10 Greg Little 2011 2-59 CLE 16 12 61 709 11.62 2 44.3
11 Donnie Avery 2008 2-33 STL 15 12 53 674 12.72 3 44.9
12 Bert Emanuel 1994 2-45 ATL 16 16 46 649 14.11 4 40.6
13 Greg Jennings 2006 2-52 GNB 14 11 45 632 14.04 3 45.1
14 Titus Young 2011 2-44 DET 16 9 48 607 12.65 6 37.9
15 Jerome Pathon 1998 2-32 IND 16 15 50 511 10.22 1 31.9
16 Antwaan Randle El 2002 2-62 PIT 16 0 47 489 10.40 2 30.6
Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/4/2012.

Back to Quick. When you condense it down to the receivers in that 45-55 reception range, yardage totals in the 600s are close to the norm. If Quick can catch that many passes, he should be able to top 600 yards, assuming he would be targeted a little deeper than, say, Danny Amendola, and since he also has some yards after the catch ability.

A better question for Quick would be the number of touchdowns he can score. No Rams receiver has had more than five touchdowns in a season since 2007, when Torry Holt scored seven. Quick's attributes should make him a contributor in the red zone, the end zone, where he can catch a fade and jump balls in the right matchups.

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