FanPost

The Truth About Top-10 Picks

As the first round draws ever closer, and the likelihood that the Rams remain in the top 10 picks of the 1st round appears more clear, I wanted to find the success rate of the players who most "experts", and obviously FO staffs around the league, deemed worthy of those high picks. I looked at the players drafted in the top 10 from 2002-2008, and found that 30 of the 70 players were absolute busts, meaning they never had ANY impact. Of the rest of the 40 players who had any sort of impact, there are plenty of names like Glenn Dorsey, Dunta Robinson, and Cadillac Williams who found, or are still finding, some level of success, but certainly haven't lived up to their draft status. Also, of the remaining 40 who were not busts, only 12 have made appeared in more than one Pro Bowl. Perhaps that number is not shocking, but it is informative. With that in mind, who are the players likely to be drafted in the top-10 this year that will fall into those categories? Who will be a bust? Who will contribute to some degree, but never really live up to their promise? Who will be absolute studs?


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