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Could Cleveland Trade with Indianapolis for the First Overall Pick in the 2012 Draft?

Pic courtesy of VTRamsFan

Hmm? It could happen, and here's why and how: My premise is based on last year's block buster draft day deal the Browns made with Atlanta so they could acquire Julio Jones. While some may look at the trade on Cleveland's part as an effort to stock pile draft picks (and you'd be right by the way), the ultimate reasoning may be far different than we all may have thought.

I can't get the possible match of Mike Holmgren and Stanford quarterback Andrew Luck out of my mind. The two go together like puddin' and a bowl - Cats and YouTube - "Glee" and..., OK nothing goes with that insipid show, but you get where I'm going here: Holmgren and Luck are made for each other.

Possibly the best quarterback prospect in over a decade, who also is a West Coast offense wunderkind, is going to be available in the 2012 NFL Draft. Andrew Luck has it all. Some think his arm strength isn't all that spectacular, but when I watched Luck in the Stanford - USC game last year, I saw Joe Montana's younger doppelganger. Now think about Holmgren's roots in coaching; a Bill Walsh apostle and West Coast advocate. Cleveland has the offensive line in place. All they are missing is a wide receiver (sorry, Greg Little just isn't it), and I've come to believe there will be a few in the second round of this year's draft that could be serious sleepers. This is all to say that if Holmgren is as sly as I think he is, he may have started planning last year for this very moment in time; for kismet...

Star-divide

...On the flip side of the coin is Jim Irsay and the Indianapolis Colts. They need a quarterback. Their need may be predicated on a quarterback with a proven skill-set though. I've read a great deal of the "Matt Flynn to follow Philbin" to Miami predictions. What if Irsay was to dangle a huge chuck of the cash they were going to pay Peyton Manning? Even if the Colts decide to keep Manning, his latest contract will have to be redone with a shorter duration, and possibly a mighty slash in the March 2012 bonus the future Hall of Fame quarterback was due. NFL players are driven by a very simple rule: Cash is King! Would Matt Flynn pass up on a chance for Olympian payday to play in Miami? You think the Dolphins will out bid the Colts? Given Miami's track record, they are willing to stand up to the plate. But when the game is on the line, they dive to the dirt when the proverbial pitch is high and inside. In other words, the owner of the Miami Dolphin's, Stephen Ross, flinches - game over...

Flynn represents a chance to jump a few of the "re-building" hurdles. Pocket aware, with a good arm strength and intellect, he could either back up Manning for a year, or step right into the breach so badly filled by Curtis Painter, Kerry Collins and Dan Orlovski in 2011. If this is true, then the Colts draft board changes quite a bit. Gone would be the need for a rookie quarterback. Their top wide receivers, Reggie Wayne (getting old, but still great) and Pierre Garcon are possible free agents this year. Re-signing one, or both, of them has to be high on their agenda, regardless of who is quarterback. Matt Flynn makes great sense for a team like the Colts with their myriad of other needs.

Enter Mike Holmgren and his gilded chest filled with first round draft picks. Irsay is a wheeler dealer too. He may be known for his Twitter ravings and cryptic Tweets, but when it comes down to it - Jim Irsay has some game. Would the Colts take the Browns #4 and #22 picks? Sure, but Irsay will take advantage of Holmgren's obvious lust for Luck. He'll demand at least a first round pick in 2013 to be added to the pie, and possibly a second or third round pick in this year's draft or next year's too. The price will be high, and Mike Holmgren may have to sell it to the Brown's owner Randy Lerner. In the end though, Holmgren could very well be the architect of one of the biggest NFL Draft day trades in years.

So what would your Mock Draft look like if this came to pass? If you think it wouldn't affect the Rams pick at #2, you really need to think again. Suddenly, Miami is back in play as a potential suitor for the Rams pick. Washington, who may very well be in the bidding war to come for Matt Flynn will make a "Light Brigade" charge at the Rams if they fail to win the services of the Green Bay Packers back up quarterback. Don't discount the Baltimore Ravens from entering the RGIII fray. The "Mighy OZ" - Ravens General Manager Ozzie Newsome may finally decide to pull the plug on Joe Flacco. The Dallas Cowboys may want to shift from their "Romo ways" and find a way to pick RGIII. Any team playing Cleveland next season may very well shift their draft boards to counter a perceived threat from Andrew Luck. Then there is how Indianapolis itself, who would be holding the #4 and #22 positions, let alone a slew of other late round picks. Their "needs" list could cause a massive shift across the first day of the 2012 NFL Draft.

Whatever happens, Mike Holmgren has some serious Draft cards to play, so don't be shocked if he goes all in...

Comment 65 comments  |  2 recs  | 

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Doug

Good post and now everything is even more mucked up.

All of this hinges on Peyton’s medical condition, and a new head coach. The last one got fired for not having a decent backup in place so how do they not use the pick? I think whether Manning plays or not they have to get someone that can perform.

by OakCityRam on Jan 24, 2012 6:07 AM CST reply actions  

You are probably right, but tell me you don't think Holmgrem is dreaming of having a guy like Andrew Luck someday?

I think Peyton comes back for a year or two, so Matt Barkley is still a possibility, especially if they gather a boat load of picks.

by Douglas M on Jan 24, 2012 6:16 AM CST up reply actions  

Joe Montana's doppleganger??? seriously your seriously saying that when he hasn't

even stepped on the field in the NFL. I don’t see anything special about him not one thing he played against cup cake schools that would make any QB look good there were a few exception’s and they lost during those games and he didn’t do anything special to stand out. I see hype and that’s it he is an unproven QB who has yet to play one game in the NFL could he succeed sure but could he flop absolutely and frankly I think RG 3 is better then him, as for indy it could be possible but it’s still way to early to press the panic button.

by Freewheeler2 on Jan 24, 2012 6:14 AM CST reply actions  

I'm actually old enough to have seen Joe Montana play in college at Notre Dame, and maybe you are too...

… I went into some football archives to see some old tape of Joe. It’s just my opinion, but damn if they didn’t look similar in how they both pass and run.
Plus, it fun and interesting to think about the wild things that can happen on Draft day! :-)

by Douglas M on Jan 24, 2012 6:21 AM CST up reply actions  

jmo53

Did an interestingpost on a possible trade with Dallas. I think you are right not to assume that Indy will just take Luck without considering other possibilities. Maybe Luck would not want to go to Indy if he perceives the organization to be too chaotic or indecisive; indecisive being the better choice of words. Great post! Rec*

by ValdezY on Jan 24, 2012 7:13 AM CST reply actions  

Irsay has said they will take Luck

Unless someone offered more than what was offered for Ricky

Note to Douglas M: Remember that 99% of what I say involves BS

by King Sam Rules! on Jan 24, 2012 7:43 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

Luck Has Leverage

He is in demand; he does not have to go to Indy. If Indy finds itself in that predicament; they will most likely make a deal for the best compensation package available. Elway made it work. It is ironic that both Luck and Elway are Stanford guys dealing with the same team; The Colts franchise.

by ValdezY on Jan 24, 2012 8:19 AM CST up reply actions  

Tell me a team that has had more talent with the first pick than the Colts, Wayne, Garçon, Freeney, Mathis

Amd if Luck says he doesn’t want to sit behind Peyton, they take RG3 and we hit the lottery

Note to Douglas M: Remember that 99% of what I say involves BS

by King Sam Rules! on Jan 24, 2012 8:31 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

And it is ironic, maybe after Luck gets upstaged IMO by the 6th qb in his draft class

He can takeover the Franchise he is synonymous with and deal with the most beloved athlete in America who can’t throw a spiral

Note to Douglas M: Remember that 99% of what I say involves BS

by King Sam Rules! on Jan 24, 2012 8:35 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

Since we are talking crazy scenarios

Sam to the Browns. Someone tell me who that doesn’t make sense to

Note to Douglas M: Remember that 99% of what I say involves BS

by King Sam Rules! on Jan 24, 2012 7:45 AM CST via mobile reply actions  

They need a qb, even Colt would love to have Sam

Shurmur knows Sam, and Holmgren wants a west coast qb, and Rg3 as WC will be hard to do

Note to Douglas M: Remember that 99% of what I say involves BS

by King Sam Rules! on Jan 24, 2012 7:53 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

I Would Disagree With That Scenario

Cost is a major hurdle. If you were The Browns ; would you pick up the remainder of Bradford’s contract? A contract that came into play before the current rookie wage scale.

by ValdezY on Jan 24, 2012 8:23 AM CST up reply actions  

Well, I think:

The Browns need a qb. Yes Sam has more money in his deal than most people make in their lives, but here’s the thing: Shurmur has worked with Sam, and Holmgren has the record he does with qb’s. They would both feel very confident in Sam’s abilities. And on top of it, even Colt McCoy would say “If I have to compete for my job, I’d want to compete against Sam for it (cause they are close friends)” and he would give them another glowing review of Sam. Yes the price is really high, but I think that the Browns would feel better maybe in Sam than a completely unproven RG3 who is much more of a spread offense qb. For both the Rams and Browns, I see that as a fair deal

Note to Douglas M: Remember that 99% of what I say involves BS

by King Sam Rules! on Jan 24, 2012 8:28 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

If they get weapons to surround him with, hell yea

or maybe… looks around Miami! xD

Bradford + Blackmon = Secondaries Beware

by RG31 on Jan 24, 2012 8:57 AM CST up reply actions  

I like Sam

but I have to admit that I’d like him even more if he wasn’t the last #1 pick to get insane money…

"For Better or for Worse; 'Till Death Do Us Part"

GO RAMS !!!

by Le Ram on Jan 24, 2012 8:15 AM CST reply actions  

It was a bit of a mistake for the NFL...

to not come up with a scale to adjust the cap to compensate teams saddled with these mega contracts. It kind of creates a competitive disadvantage to a system that was suppose to help teams at the bottom climb their way back. The bright side is we clear a lot of Sam’s contract off the books next season and if we can fix the Smith contract we should be able to manage.

by Sggladden on Jan 24, 2012 2:02 PM CST up reply actions  

Not going to happen

the amount that they would need to pay for Luck will be WAY more than the price for number 2. I actually don’t think that they will trade up in the draft. I think it will be the Dolphins or nobody. Why should the Browns even think of trading up unless another team gets very serious about it? The Viks and the Rams won’t take RG3, so unless the Redskins or the Dolphins get involved, which I’m starting to think is unlikely, the Rams will be picking 2nd overall.

Knowledge is knowing a tomato is a fruit; Wisdom is not putting it in a fruit salad.

by Brick Top on Jan 24, 2012 8:46 AM CST reply actions  

Someone will trade up for RG3

Its that simple. The Redskins NEED him. If the Browns want him, they have to trade up

Note to Douglas M: Remember that 99% of what I say involves BS

by King Sam Rules! on Jan 24, 2012 8:48 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

Redskins have many other needs

Knowledge is knowing a tomato is a fruit; Wisdom is not putting it in a fruit salad.

by Brick Top on Jan 24, 2012 12:19 PM CST up reply actions  

I dont think the browns will trade up unless it is for Luck

but the Redskins will look to trade up to the #2 spot, they are not going to get Matt Flynn so they will make a play for RGIII

by Highspeed30 on Jan 24, 2012 8:58 AM CST up reply actions  

Now that's a wierd comparison, Luck to Montana?

But I think it does hinge on Peyton being healthy. There’s always that Qb that’s supposedly the best of the decade, same was said about Sam. But if Peyton is still healthy he gives them the best chance to win and they may trade the pick. They may be saying that they want to pick Luck because they want more bang for the buck and for people to bite more on their pick..

Bradford + Blackmon = Secondaries Beware

by RG31 on Jan 24, 2012 8:55 AM CST reply actions  

Luck

Luck has great media hype but what else???????

by JW Coop on Jan 24, 2012 8:58 AM CST reply actions  

Hype aside...

the kid is a very good QB prospect. Good size. Delivers the ball with good form and accuracy. Extremely smart.

by Sggladden on Jan 24, 2012 2:07 PM CST up reply actions  

Im starttin to think our trade options are low

Browns arent trading. They wanted extra picks y would they give up a fortune to move up for a guy who might fall to them two spots later? Miami wnt, I dnt think a new coach wants to start of his time there by makin a risky move(besides, matt flynn). Shanny and the skins might, but shanny wants to win now and that pressure might make him reluctant to trade for a rookie. We could very well get stuck at two

by Ram_Redemption on Jan 24, 2012 9:00 AM CST via mobile reply actions  

There will be teams coming out of the woodwork to draft RG3

No one saw that Julio Jones trade last year and someone will be just as desperate to get a QB prospect that has the skills. I could see someone with a good team that lacks a QB like the Chiefs decide to throw the bank at a chance to get Griffin. One thing to remember is teams will most likely play coy until the draft arrives in an effort to get the best bargain.

by Sggladden on Jan 24, 2012 2:16 PM CST up reply actions  

Chiefs are another sleeper

I could see this. We just need picks sooooo…. the highest bidder.

by jmo53 on Jan 24, 2012 8:04 PM CST via Android app up reply actions  

I think the bidding war is not gonna happen

but i do believe the Rams best trading option will be Washington because they really need a QB, the Browns can just stay @ 4 and get a playmaker and give McCoy another year, Miami most likely will go with Matt Flynn cause he know the system with Philbin, but I dont see the Redskins going another year with Grossman so they will be the best trade partner IMO

by Highspeed30 on Jan 24, 2012 9:10 AM CST reply actions  

I just can’t envision this happening…

The Colts are in this draft position for a reason. Their HOF quarterback is starting to feel the effects of Father Time and they know that this is the first warning shot over the bow before bad times hit (ala Rams style). Flynn would make sense if they only had the #9 pick in the draft, but since they can pick anyone they’ll grab Luck who is the QB of their future, can be had cheaper than Flynn, and who can be molded to the team’s offensive desires. Plain and simple, theres not enough data to say Flynn will put up numbers like he did in week 16 of last season, especially on another team and in another system. Do the Colts want to pay all that ‘jack’ for the unknown?

The Colts may not be in this position again for a very long time (having the first pick in a draft with a very good QB prospect ready to be picked), so they’d be nuts to pass up on Luck. They still have an offensive nucleus together, but they will be going through a transition period as they start moving out older players such as Manning, Wayne, Saturday, and Clark for younger talent. Perfect time to transition in a rookie QB. Flynn is a perfect prospect for a team like Washington, who needs a developed QB in place to immediately make a playoff run. Bottom line is with the ownerships in Washington and Miami who will fling around sick cash for a free QB with any inkling of promise, the Colts won’t get in a bidding war when their QB of the future can be had through the draft (where there are no bids allowed).

by Da Rams! on Jan 24, 2012 9:22 AM CST reply actions  

JIM Irsay

Is the owner. Robert is his dead father that moved the team and is hated in Baltimore

by Mr.PreGame on Jan 24, 2012 9:29 AM CST via Android app reply actions  

+1

"For Better or for Worse; 'Till Death Do Us Part"

GO RAMS !!!

by Le Ram on Jan 24, 2012 10:09 AM CST up reply actions  

this

for once the rams are in a win win… something we arent used to saying… winnnnn

by Ram_Redemption on Jan 24, 2012 10:27 AM CST up reply actions  

Blackmon

Bradford + Blackmon = Secondaries Beware

by RG31 on Jan 24, 2012 11:48 AM CST up reply actions  

Which is debatable

I was just fuckin’ around though, either way I’m good..

Bradford + Blackmon = Secondaries Beware

by RG31 on Jan 24, 2012 12:05 PM CST up reply actions  

Truer words have never been spoken..

Bradford + Blackmon = Secondaries Beware

by RG31 on Jan 24, 2012 12:21 PM CST up reply actions  

rg my boy fuller is turning heads...

Jeff Fuller stood out at the South Team practice on Day 1. Scouts on the sidelines were talking about his size (6-foot-4, 220 pounds), but he drops his hips and gets in and out of routes like a much smaller receiver. He made a couple of spectacular catches during one-on-one drills, including an over-the-shoulder grab against tight coverage. He showed strong hands and a willingness to compete for the football. That — combined with his ability as a blocker — makes him one of the draft’s more intriguing receiver prospects.

by Ram_Redemption on Jan 24, 2012 1:43 PM CST up reply actions  

So where is he projected 2nd round?

Bradford + Blackmon = Secondaries Beware

by RG31 on Jan 24, 2012 2:03 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

Yep

And I truely think he’s tre best in this draft

by Ram_Redemption on Jan 24, 2012 4:20 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

Now youre overratting him..

Bradford + Blackmon = Secondaries Beware

by RG31 on Jan 24, 2012 5:45 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

Draft RG3...

and play him at WR ; )

Create a specialized set of plays that utilize his athletic ability at QB.

If Bradford doesn’t pan out well you have a back up plan. If he does pan out you have trade bait for next year.

Sure it would suck to be shorted a 1st round pick this season but in the long run you’d get more out of RG3 when someone gets desperate next off season than you’d get from drafting Kali and being out additional picks.

by Sggladden on Jan 24, 2012 2:23 PM CST up reply actions  

And what if RGIII doesn't turn out to be the next best thing?

Then we wasted a top 2 pick for a backup QB/WR. No thanks. Take him as QB or use him as trade bait. Nuff said.

by jmo53 on Jan 24, 2012 8:19 PM CST via Android app up reply actions  

Only one thing matters now

RGIII’s pro day and draft workouts. Hopefully, he’ll impress even more with his interviews and workouts to make teams salivate over getting him.

by 81 Witness on Jan 24, 2012 10:33 AM CST reply actions  

I hope the Fish Man

is ready to dial up a good deal!

by OakCityRam on Jan 24, 2012 10:43 AM CST reply actions  

Nooooo.....

The Colts are drafting Matt Kalil #1! :)

Been losing sleep over Rams football since 1999.
Steven Jackson is a beast, a legend, a HoFer and should be treated as such.

by Joe Mazzi on Jan 24, 2012 1:18 PM CST reply actions  

Exactly! lol

I’m amazed someone hasn’t done a post on Cincinnati yet? (hint,hint) They don’t need a QB, but they have 2 1st round picks… Is their anyone at the top of the draft they covet?

by Douglas M on Jan 24, 2012 1:27 PM CST up reply actions  

Could you imagine AJ Green and Blackmon paired together? Hell on earth.

I’m actually writing something right now, if you’d like to take a look at it when it’s done before I post it.

Been losing sleep over Rams football since 1999.
Steven Jackson is a beast, a legend, a HoFer and should be treated as such.

by Joe Mazzi on Jan 24, 2012 1:33 PM CST up reply actions  

Sure thing.

I’ll have it done in the next hour, hopefully.

Been losing sleep over Rams football since 1999.
Steven Jackson is a beast, a legend, a HoFer and should be treated as such.

by Joe Mazzi on Jan 24, 2012 1:39 PM CST up reply actions  

Indy

If I were in the Indy FO; I would give considerable thought to trading the number 1 overall pick. The compensation: A combination of draft picks and young talent, would be more beneficial IMO. Miami would be an interesting partner b/c of their young talent: Dallas could be a surprise trading partner as well. What about San Francisco: Kyle Williams, Donte Whitner, and Ahmad Brooks to name a few. A couple of players and draft picks for 2012 and 2013 could get The Niners in the Luck bidding process.

by ValdezY on Jan 24, 2012 2:27 PM CST reply actions  

You sold me! Now I want to see a post from you on Harbaugh - Luck!

I personally like articles that shake the proverbial tree of conventional thought. While my hypothesis may be wrong (and probably is?), there is something fun about exploring “what if-s?”
A great deal can happen before the 2012 NFL Draft. Player stock will rise and fall. Teams will decide on future directions and how to accomplish what they want to do. Most of the Mock drafts I’ve seen lately are within a small degree of being the same, week in, and week out.
If anyone thinks another “Atlanta mortgages the farm” isn’t possible in the coming draft, you may want to think again… :-)

by Douglas M on Jan 24, 2012 3:24 PM CST up reply actions  

I Disagree Sir!

What you’ve just said is one of the most insanely idiotic things I have ever heard. At no point in your rambling, incoherent response were you even close to anything that could be considered a rational thought. Everyone in this room is now dumber for having listened to it. I award you no points, and may God have mercy on your soul.

Can’t football fans be bothered to watch even one episode of Sportscenter now and again? Luck is a transcendent talent at the most important position in the game, and taking him is something that should be self-evident to anyone who can identify a football in only three guesses. The Colts play football for a living, so they know this, and have already confirmed, when they didn’t at all need to bother, that they will most definitely be taking Luck.

But if you were to consider this argument as sane, you’re first forgetting that there are 30 other teams in the NFL besides the Colts and Browns. NFL people say the bidding for the Luck pick would begin at three to four first round picks, not end at the Browns offering three and no one bothering to try and outbid them, and then also several other 2nd and 3rd round picks and possibly players. I’ve actually seen this kind of speculation from lots of other fans online, who all think their team is the only one who could use a QB and a trade to get Luck is solely theirs for the taking.

Second, this is not baseball, Manning’s contract is not a burden to Indianapolis because it exists, but because it counts against their salary cap. The Browns paying it does not fix this. Additionally, if you’re worried about Manning and Luck being too much money, than how in the world do you justify Manning and Matt “about to get his payday” Flynn? Rookie scale for a future first ballot Hall of Famer, is a much better value, than open market bidding for a backup QB who basically had a good game. Indeed, it is the NFL’s biggest suckers who will be bidding on Matt Flynn, for Irsay to give up Luck for Flynn would not just be idiotic on his part, but legally, grounds for him to be committed to a psychiatric center for his own safety and the safety of others.

And finally, this argument that the Colts have other “needs” was thoroughly debunked during the regular season and laughed out of most everyone who said it. This Colts team with an elite quarterback, Peyton Manning, and all these holes, is a Super Bowl contender. This Colts team without Manning and all these holes finished dead last. Seems pretty obvious there’s one position that matters more than every other position and that’s the quarterback. So would you rather try to fill all those holes with a handful of rookies at other positions, half of whom will not work out, and if you do a good job end up looking like the Seattle Seahawks of the AFC? Or would you rather take Luck and be a Super Bowl contender until 2025?

Everyone should be aware by now the Colts have made it clear they are not interested in trading their first pick, and should also be aware there’s nothing in the combine that will cause them to devalue Luck or over-value Griffin. Griffin’s value will continue to sink the further away we get from the college season because he’s less conflatable with Luck. That’s the end of the story.

by frankelee on Jan 29, 2012 6:57 PM CST reply actions  

So... You're saying you don't agree? lol

A post like this is more about the possibility, than it actually happening. Both you and I have no idea what a trade would look like. You also espouse knowledge of NFL sources, or “NFL people say…” with zero foundation quoted.
You may want to think about the FACT that quite a few hypothetical trade possibilities will surface before April’s draft. If you plan to share your antebellum-esk ramblings with others… Well that’s up to you. Just know they are no where near as profound, or accurate, as you may think.
My post was for entertainment value. It’s about thinking outside the proverbial box too. Learn to discern the intent of an article before you waste 592 words commenting like this is a fact based article.
As to the Colts not having many “holes” and being a Super Bowl contender? You, as a Colts fan, should know the problems with this team run far deeper than missing Peyton Manning. Jim Irsay is beginning a massive shake up that will involve players as much as it has coaches. Welcome to the Rams fan world!

by Douglas M on Jan 31, 2012 4:03 PM CST up reply actions  

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