2011 Stat predictions - Steven Jackson's 2010 numbers
This week, the TST crew jumps in the time machine and look back at the stat predictions we made a year ago. I'm kicking the series off with our predictions for the Predator himself, Steven Jackson.
In retrospect, Van hit it on the head accurately noting the three keys to Jackson's season -- gameplan, O-line and RB depth, especially on the latter two:
- The offensive line - Jackson's been able to get it done with some bad blocking in front of him. Will this year's group be any better? Any healthier?
- The backup RB situation - The Rams inability to find a more reliable threat to backup Jackson has been a sore point for some. And if Jackson does miss time with injury, it could be a real problem.
Luckily for the Rams, AxJax avoided major injury, playing in all 16 games. The hamstring tweak from the Washington game and a finger injury did limit his effectiveness, but the bottom line is that Jackson hadn't played a full 16-game season since 2006. And we all know about the backup situation, so let's just acknowledge with a nod and move on.
After the jump, I look at the closest predictions and some other observations.
So here's how the predictions bore out:
| category | actual | closest prediction (TSTer) |
| carries | 330 | 333 (Taosman) |
| rush yds | 1,241 | 1,304 (3k) |
| rush TDs | 6 | 6 (Buck Nasty87, VanRam, 3k) |
| rec | 46 | 48 (IrishRamsFan) |
| rec yds | 383 | 384 (IrishRamsFan) |
| rec TDs | 0 | 1 (Buck Nasty87, ram_rod, RBramfan, Abrantes) |
First, IrishRamsFan had Jackson's receiving game down. But most of the entries overstated the impact Jackson would have in terms of yards, and heavily underpredicted his total carries. No shame there. Jackson posted a career-low 3.76 yards per carry last year while racking up his second-highest carry total.
This year's a different matter entirely. Going off Van's three keys to the totals last year (gameplan, O-line & RB depth), it's a bit of a crapshoot this year.
Tomorrow, we'll look at our predictions for James Laurinaitis. On Wednesday, it's Big Mike on the mike. And on Thursday, a special retrospective that you don't want to miss. The line between comedy and drama is thin, and Thursday's look back will either be hilarious or entirely discouraging.
Holler.
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we got those coming up next week
make sure you get them in on those posts, because those are the threads I’ll be looking back at a year from now
Turf Show Times editor, Mocking the Draft writer, and I gots that Twitter too, yo.
"my keyboard won't corporate, neighter will my smell check." - Knoxfan
by 3k on Aug 15, 2011 9:28 AM CDT up reply actions
This Year or Week 1
This is just a prediction for the Eagles game right?
Cam Newton fest on First Take
WARNING: Due to depression caused by the NFL Lockout, any posts, comments, fanshots, fanposts, email conversations, web site articles or any other related communication may be offensive or slightly disturbing. Reader discretion is advised.
Got it.
Coach Steve Tucker
www.football-tutorials.com
by CoachSteveTucker on Aug 15, 2011 10:53 AM CDT reply actions
Sjax- time to go run over some people
Spags- * thinking * man I wish I had hair like that
Sam Bradford to Austin Pettis
Kinda has a ring to it
by RG31 on Aug 15, 2011 10:57 AM CDT via mobile reply actions
I'll just say...
that SJax has been on his own, literally, for years. Ya gotta play every down when your backups are named Obog, Samkon, Darby or Tostem. You have a target on your jersey instead of a number. Mike Karney was never really any good at blocking or getting a critical yard. And defenders came blowing by Goldberg (and unexpectedly Brown) to hit Sjax everytime he tried to go up the gut. Things are surely different this year. Unless he’s lost a step at age 28 due to taking excessive beatings for years, Sjax should fluorish with help from Dahl, Williams and Norwood. Everyone expects Steven to run, and he will. But now would also be a good time to feed him some passes and see what he can do in YAC too. He’s still THE man.
Agreed
SJax is still the man. He has been a marked man for years. Spags said recently that the playbook is 60% new and 40% of last year. He was talking about Bradford at the time but I wonder if it applies to the running game too? I hope that Williams and Norwood can combine to keep Jackson under 300 carries this year (ideally around 280) and I’d love to see him catch about the same as last year. I’m very excited to see SJax running behind Dahl and co!
by IrishRamsFan on Aug 16, 2011 2:21 AM CDT up reply actions

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