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Breaking down the Rams run defense vs. Arizona

The Arizona Cardinals are not giving the St. Louis Rams any breaks with their injury report, which isn't highly unusual given that this is kickoff weekend. However, they will most likely be without RB Beanie Wells. How does that change the Rams game plan?

It doesn't. The Cardinals will be emphasizing the run heavily again this year, maybe more so since Kurt Warner packed it up for the broadcast booth. Tim Hightower will see most of the carries against the Rams this week, rather than their split running back performance from last year.

Hightower ripped the Rams for 110 yards on 14 carries in week 11 last year. In the teams' week 16 rematch he ran for 32 yards on 10 carries with one TD. Can Hightower be a feature back though? Here's what Pro Football Focus had say about the two backs in AZ:

We understood why Tim Hightower was in the game more due to his strong blitz-pickup skills (+1.3 rating), but there was a noticeable difference between Hightower or Beanie Wells running the ball.

Of course, with the running game you have to consider Arizona's o-line which I want to talk about a little more in-depth.

The big addition this year was G Alan Faneca, whose name conjures up more threat than his aging body. He was the weak link with the Jets' starting five last year; he blew six blocks last year. In their 2010 annual, Football Outsiders notes that the combo of Faneca and Levi Brown on the left side of the line give the Cardinals' left side "the most blown blocks of anyone in the league." 

The success of the Cardinals running game last year had a lot to do with the running backs, specifically their use of two-back sets, where they averaged a half yard more per carry and more overall success than they did in single back formations. Again, from FO's 2010 annual, which you really have to buy if you don't already have it:

This points to blocking issues validated by the team’s rankings in Adjusted Line Yards (16th), Power Success (28th), and runs stuffed at the line (29th). That two-back success also creates the possibility of formation giveaways in the future — too much I-formation with an unthreatening quarterback gives an enemy defense every excuse to tee off.

Arizona's offensive line issues together with their running back situation gives the Rams defense the opportunity to set the tone. 

The Rams run defense had an excellent preseason. Yes, that's not always indicative of how a unit will play in the regular season, but you'll recall that the Rams run defense was shredded in the preseason last year before struggling in the regular season as well. 

Part of the problem, in my opinion, with the Rams run defense last year had to do with issues at linebacker, particularly on the outside. As 3k mentioned in his preview today, that looks like a much better unit than last year's, not only because of James Laurinaitis' growth as a player but improved personnel along side him. 

In front of them, the Rams defensive line actually looks fairly well equipped to defend the run. The interior combo of Fred Robbins, Clifton Ryan and Darrell Scott was well regarded by the guys at Pro Football Focus in their preseason examination of all 32 teams' defensive lines, even if their pass rushing ability is still a question mark. The Rams also have defensive ends that do play well against the run. Chris Long has been strong in that department, even if it did take some time to get his blitzing game up to speed. 

Any offense featuring Larry Fitzgerald can be dangerous, but the overall matchup between the Rams defense and the Cardinals offense, particularly with out Chris Wells, goes along way toward leveling out the playing field. If the Rams offense can stay on the field for a decent amount of time, it might be just enough of an advantage for the Rams. 

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Van Ram

I am not worthy of your analysis [/bows down]. Really gives us fans hope for Sunday’s game. I would really like to see Selvie in the game tomorrow who will cause fits for that side of the line.

by 81 Witness on Sep 10, 2010 5:15 PM CDT reply actions  

Yea Van really.. you rock brother

"The greatest accomplishment is not in never falling, but in rising again after you fall." - Vince Lombardi

by VTramsFan on Sep 10, 2010 5:45 PM CDT reply actions  

What's up TST...

An ROTB’er here….How do you guys feel about the direction your team is headed? When I see Long, Laurantitis, and Atogwe….I cant help but think of Dockett and Wilson, I’d say dansby but eff him….Seems like you now have the staples in the defense to build from? Also is there any chance you could use gabe watson…I’d love to see Lauranitis in red, that guy is like another Patrick Willis…I remember watching the games last year, and if he didnt make the tackle he was awfully close too? Anyways…just stopping by because the other division sites…are well….I dont have as much homer Kool-Aid…Hope this sunday is a classic…

by Cardsfan928 on Sep 10, 2010 6:13 PM CDT reply actions  

Some answers

Yes we like the direction we are headed. We are still a little off from having a playoff contender. Possibly looking for an upgrade at DE, WLB, and SS. On the other side of the ball, we need to age and grab a back-up RB and a RG.

LLA is much younger than DW. They still are young in the teeth and are ready to gain more experience. Laurinitis was a vacuum for tackling last year. Upgrades at SLB and WLB (sorry you guys got Parys) will lower Laurinitis’ numbers.

Looking forward to a hard fought game where the Rams should be very hungry. We’ve lost at least 10 straight division games and did not iwin at the Ed last year.

by 81 Witness on Sep 10, 2010 6:35 PM CDT up reply actions  

Paris Lenon

He has actually played pretty well for the Cardinals so far. I wasn’t expecting much out of him after reading comments about him here. Originally he was expected to fill in for Dansby until rookie Daryl Washington was ready to start. Washington has looked like a stud and will be starting right out of the gate. That’s a good thing for us because Gerald Hayes is out for at least 6 more weeks. Now Lenon will be filling in that spot instead.

by hadrarius on Sep 10, 2010 10:01 PM CDT up reply actions  

Lenon

He’s really been known on the Rams site to get those stops 5 yards down the field. Yes, he’s a good tackler, but if you are giving up 2nd and 5s against avg rbs, not so hot. Imagine him trying to hogtie Stephen Jackson.

I have total respect for AZ, but picking up players that the 1-15 Rams purposely discard is not an upgrade to your team.

by 81 Witness on Sep 10, 2010 10:15 PM CDT up reply actions  

I don't think he was expected to be an upgrade.

Just a journeyman player to plug a hole until his replacement was ready to go. Unfortunately for us our other inside linebacker had to have back surgery.

by hadrarius on Sep 11, 2010 12:00 AM CDT up reply actions  

A cards fan perspective

Wells vs Hightower. Wells is a more dynamic runner. Hightower is a more versatile back. He has a better understanding of the entire offense and is better in pass protection. That is why he’s still the starter. The Cardinals have a good #3 RB in LaRod Stephens-Howling (much like the Chargers’ Sproles). Hightower keeps ripping off with big runs. He may be on the way to turning some of his critics around. Both Hightower and Wells run mean. They’ll stiff arm their way through a tackler as often as juke him.

Faneca and Brown. The bitch with these guys isn’t with their run blocking it’s with pass protection. If Faneca can’t get the job done the Cardinals have a back up in Rex Hadnot that could handily step in his place. Brown was an alternate for the pro bowl last season. Unlike Faneca he didn’t get there by name recognition.

When did the Cardinals feature the run heavily? With Kurt Warner at QB it was a 60/40 split at the best of times. It’s been a popular belief that they will be more run oriented this season but the team has never claimed that to be so. It’s entirely speculation. Whisenhunt was looking for strong armed quarterbacks for a reason. The strength of the AZ offense is still in it’s receiver corp. They ran plenty of 3,4 and 5 receiver sets in preseason. Whis said the style of offense wouldn’t change and hasn’t shown any indication that it will change in any significant way.

Also, what’s with the claim of the unthreatening QB? Was that bit written when Leinart was around still? The knock on Matty, or at least one of them, was that he had a weak arm. That particular problem is no longer an issue. With the receivers the Cardinals have Derek Anderson only needs to get it close. He can do that from a long, long way away. His ability to get it deep (unimpressive completion percentage aside) will keep defenses honest (read – not stacking the box) in a way that Matt Leinart could not have done.

by hadrarius on Sep 10, 2010 9:57 PM CDT reply actions  

Anderson is a streaky QB.

If he gets hot, he can really do the job. If not, well, the Cards offense will be in trouble. You knew Leinart couldn’t do the job. On a good day Anderson definitely can. Cross your fingers, burn sage, whaever, but let’s hope he has a bad day against us Sunday.

by andyhawk on Sep 10, 2010 11:23 PM CDT up reply actions  

Fingers are crossed that our QB coach can fix Anderson's play.

Chris Miller is supposedly pretty good at that sort of thing. He said when Anderson joined the team that both Leinart and Anderson had the same mechanical flaw. They have been happy with Anderson’s progress. Hopefully that means he’s correcting it. Leinart never really did but he’s a whole different problem that we cardinals fans don’t have to deal with anymore. Anderson is throwing just under 60% right now. If he can get up to 65%, and keep ti there, I think the Cardinals will be in good shape.

by hadrarius on Sep 11, 2010 12:06 AM CDT up reply actions  

I’m assuming the quote from the Football Outsiders annual was written while Leinart was still around, yes. Replace “unthreatening” with “highly erratic” and it won’t be too far off, though.

by Abrantes on Sep 10, 2010 11:25 PM CDT up reply actions  

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