Author's note: This mock was completed before the NFL released compensatory picks, so the additional picks at the end of the 3rd round (to the Bengals, Titans and Falcons) are not included.
There once was a man named Mel Kiper
whose hair was as wild as a viper.
He was in on big scoops
which made him take poops
and that's why he now wears a diaper.
- previous mock: Jan. 29th.
- acronym list: BPA/BTA: best player/talent available, CW: conventional wisdom, FO: front office, QotF: Quarterback of the future, PotN: Pulse of the Nation, JPP: Jason Pierre-Paul
- since the last mock, the official draft order has been set.
- people have asked me about mocking trades, but it's such a difficult proposition with the current salary structure to predict who and how trades will be made, so I stay out of it.
- as always, any requests for stuff you'd like to see in the next edition would be appreciated.
1 - St. Louis Rams - Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma (M, E, W, D)
Nothing since my January mock has changed my opinion here. If nothing else, it just confirmed how motivated Bradford is to earn his stripes.
Previous mock: Bradford
Pulse of the Nation (Turf Show Times): To me, adding DT Fred Robbins and bringing in QB A.J. Feeley are similar moves; the Rams are going to have to bring in a legitimate QB of the future and make a simliar move at DT. These two veterans are the mentors for whoever fills those spots.
2 - Detroit Lions - Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska (M, E, W, D)
If they don't trade down, I fail to see how the Lions pass on Suh.
Previous mock: Suh
PotN (Pride of Detroit): The community's mostly behind the move, but it would certainly give them an expensive front four compared to other 4-3 D-lines (great post, BTW).
3 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma (M, E, W, D)
I could still see them taking Eric Berry (S, Tennessee), but the chance to resurrect their namesake defense is greater with a DT like McCoy.
Previous mock: McCoy
4 - Washington Redskins - Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame (M, E, W, D)
The real issue at hand here is Jason Campbell. If Washington is going to stick with him (or at least give him another year), then the pick is Russell Okung (OT, Oklahoma St.) If not, then Clausen is their QotF for Shanahan, Snyder and every bar in the D.C. area.
Previous mock: Clausen
5 - Kansas City Chiefs - Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma St. (M, E, W, D)
Still between Okung and Berry for me, and stlil a tough call. So why would I change it now?
Previous mock: Okung
6 - Seattle Seahawks - Eric Berry, S, Tennessee (M, E, W, D)
Whoever's left out of Bradford, Clausen, Okung and Berry goes here.
Previous mock: Berry
PotN (Field Gulls): FG isn't incredibly draft-heavy, but that's fine. SBN has all kinds of communities and FG is a great one (which hurts me, because it's the funking Seahawks of all teams). John is great at analyzing gameplay, like breaking down Lamarr Houston (DT, Texas).
7 - Cleveland Browns - Joe Haden, CB, Florida (M, E, W)
The value of most combine performances in terms of prospect evaluation is often overstated. Haden's is a great example. He's still the best CB prospect, he still makes sense, and he's still of accurate value for the 7th pick. that being said, I could see C.J. Spiller (RB, Clemson) if the brass isn't convinced that Jerome Harrison can be their every day RB. Rolando McClain (MLB, Alabama) has an outside shot too.
Previous mock: Haden
8 - Oakland Raiders - Bruce Campbell, OT, Maryland (M, E, W)
Yet again, asked to mock the impossible. Campbell's a beast, so he makes sense. So does McClain. Honestly, I don't know what happens here.
Previous mock: Carlos Dunlap (DE, Florida)
PotN (Silver and Black Pride): Unlocking Al Davis' head, aka the Rosetta Stone, part I. I don't feel like I know anything more about him after reading it, but it was as enjoyable as reading can possible be when the subject is Al Davis.
9 - Buffalo Bills - Anthony Davis, OT, Rutgers (M, E, W)
Last time I went power, this time potential. Still a tough call between Davis and Trent Williams (OT, Oklahoma), but i feel the winds of change in my hair. Kiper? His hair's windproof. And changeproof. And nukeproof.
Previous mock: T. Williams
10 - Jacksonville Jaguars - Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech (M, E, W)
I still like this pick, though some might point to Jason Pierre-Paul (DE, S. Florida) if the Jags go DE.
Previous mock: Morgan
11 - Denver Broncos (via Chicago) - Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma St. (M, E, W)
It's still a nice fit here. Especially if the Broncos get Deion in a package deal.
Previous mock: Bryant
12 - Miami Dolphins - Dan Williams, DT, Tennessee (M, W)
Dansby filled a need at ILB, so I doubt they'd grab Rolando McClain who I had here last time. He recently revealed he has Crohn's disease, which isn't a huge deal, but obviously a concern FWIW. With Ro-Mack out of contention Miami can focus on adding a NT of the future to anchor their 3-4, which gives them three options: Dan Williams, Terrence Cody (NT, Alabama), and Cam Thomas (NT, N. Carolina). Cody would be a crazy pick, and Parcells is too smart for that, so Williams is the front runner, though Sergio Kindle (DE/OLB, Texas) is a possibility. Of course if Dez Bryant falls, he's definitely a player here too.
Previous mock: R. McClain
13 - San Francisco 49ers - Trent Williams, OT, Oklahoma (M, E, W, D)
Niners are in a strange spot here. I still think the battle is between drafting a RT in Williams or a safety, where they'd have two options: Taylor Mays (S, USC) and Earl Thomas (S, Texas). Honestly, this is one of those few mock spots where I can feel the media pulling the string above my shoulders. While I still think Mays is Taylor-made (Hyuk, hyuk) for Singeltary's defense, the Niners would bolster their Coffee-Gore (which I believe is now an accepted film genre) powered running game with a mauling RT. Phil Loadholt, Oklahoma's RT gift to the NFL last year, laid out the blueprint for T-Will. Also, this is where the notorious Williams Effect comes into play in the 2010 draft, where teams begin selecting guys with the last name Williams. Seattle will be on the clock next, and all eyes will undoubtedly be on Purdue safety Torii Williams......
Previous mock: R. McClain
14 - Seahawks (via Denver) - Everson Griffen, DE, USC (M, E, W, D)
Tough pick. With Bruce Campbell off the board, Seattle has two options at OTs: Bryan Bulaga (OT, Iowa) and Charles Brown (OT, USC). They could go for C.J. Spiller too. And even at DE, they may be enticed by JPP or Dunlap. I think Griffen gives them a tenacity they need at DE that they won't get from Dunlap or Pierre-Paul. Pete Carroll's history with the USC prospects has to figure in at some point.
Previous mock: B. Campbell
15 - New York Giants - Rolando McClain, ILB, Alabama (M, E, W)
The Giants could be serious trade players on draft day if McClain has a taker before 15. He's a BPA candidate at, arguably, their biggest position of need.
Previous mock: Earl Thomas
16 - Tennessee Titans - Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, South Florida (M, E, W)
With Will Witherspoon on board, taking an OLB here is not happening. Wlil they look outside their needs at DE and CB? I doubt it, even though safety's in play. Pierre-Paul is a high-potential DE that could flourish in Kyle Vanden Bosch's old spot. And just to stand my ground, I'm really worried about JPP at the NFL. I'm not the only one, FWIW.
Previous mock: E. Griffen
Last time I had Kindle here, but it's one of those moves that makes football sense but not business sense. The Niners have Parys Haralson on board through 2013 anyway. I think the best pick here would be a ballsy one and a bit of a stretch, but along with Trent Williams at 13 would immediately upgrade their offense: Mike Iupati (OG, Idaho). I just can't mock both 1st rounders on offense to Mike Singletary, and I still can't imagine he's not hungry to add an athlete like Taylor Mays to his defense.
Previous mock: S. Kindle
18 - Pittsburgh Steelers - Bryan Bulaga, OT, Iowa (M, E, W)
Definite winner for the curtain. Great value in a finished prospect who feels a need of serious immediacy. As for immediacy an seriousness, check the pulse...
Previous mock: An. Davis
19 - Atlanta Falcons - Carlos Dunlap, DE, Florida (M, E, W)
Risk? Sure. It's half the equation. But the Falcons need more from their pass rush than what Jamaal Anderson has been giving them, whether he ends up at DT or not. Taking Dunlap at least gives them a real shot at the other half: the reward.
Previous mock: Do. Warren (CB, Michigan)
20 - Houston Texans - CJ Spiller, RB, Clemson (M, E, W, D)
Passing game? Check. Running game? Hello? Bueller? Something is wrong when ESPN's depth chart has your kicker as your starting RB. And no, that's not Photoshopped.
Previous mock: Patrick Robinson (CB, Florida St.)
PotN (Battle Red Blog): BRB yaks draft and RBs, but doesn't bring up Spiller. Wait, ESPN mock drafter rules: never make yourself look wrong. Defend your mocks until death. Point to others lookback mocks, but never offer your own. Now with my reputation intact, I can continue.
21 - Cincinnati Bengals - Arrelious Benn, WR, Illinois (M, E, W, D)
I still like WR here, but I think Benn fits their system opposite Señor Cinco. And while TE and G may be greater needs, I don't know if a team is willing to overlook the injury history and spend a pick this early on Jermaine Gresham (TE, Oklahoma). And taking a G this high up in the 1st is tough, even if it is Iupati. The question for me is if the FO can go BPA here, or if they find a way to move down and hit their needs for value.
Previous mock: Golden Tate (WR, Notre Dame)
22 - New England Patriots - Sergio Kindle, DE/OLB, Texas (M, E, W)
The Pats are always a tough mock; I could see them going a half dozen other ways. Kindle would continue the youth movement at LB; with Adalius Thomas and Derrick Burgess holding down the spot, youth would seem a pressing need.
Previous mock: J. Gresham
23 - Green Bay Packers - Earl Thomas, S, Texas (M, E, W, D)
I still think the Pack need to move up and grab a tackle or CJ Spiller, but if not, this is a very interesting pick. They've got safety options, LB options, pass rush options, even Iupati. These are the picks that define drafts not only for the team drafting, but those that come after.
Previous mock: Spiller
24 - Philadelphia Eagles - Mike Iupati, OG, Idaho (M, E, W, D)
Iupati offers great interior line skill and experience, something the Eagles could use from this draft. I could see them going after Markice Pouncey (C, Florida), but that would be a serious stretch at #24. I could still see them going after who I mocked them for last time...
Previous mock: Brandon Spikes (MLB, Florida)
PotN (Bleeding Green Nation): At some point, the Eagles are going to have to beef up their LB corps.
25 - Baltimore Ravens - Kyle Wilson, CB, Boise St. (M, E, W, D)
The CW here is that the Ravens will look to find an heir to TE Todd Heap or add another WR to play understudy to Anquan Boldin and the underappreciated Derrick Mason, but the idea having Wilson replace Chris Carr (a fellow BSU alum) could do wonders for the Ravens' D who doesn't have much more time to give Ray Lewis and Ed Reed one last shot before the HoF.
Previous mock: Damian Williams (WR, USC)
PotN (Baltimore Beatdown): Always cements things when the SBN community agrees. As an added note, I always enjoy it when other communities look at what we should do this offseason, although the idea of adding Vick and T.O. makes me queasauseous. It's a combination of being both queasy and nauseous.
26 - Arizona Cardinals - Jerry Hughes, DE/OLB, TCU (M, E, W, D)
A relatively easy mock. The Cards could use some O-line help, but to avoid the kind of LB talent that will be here at 26 would be ridiculous. They could grab a QB later on and possibly make a play for OT in the 2nd, but to take the field next season without adding LB talent on the inside and outside would handicap their 3-4.
Previous mock: Navorro Bowman (OLB, Penn St.)
27 - Dallas Cowboys - Brandon Spikes, MLB, Florida (M, E, W)
The Cowboys have a couple different options, but they're moving in the right direction this draft. With Kyle Wilson gone, CB would be a stretch, though Patrick Robinson probably isn't out of the question. Hard to argue against improving the OL either, but Charles Brown is not a Cowboys tackle. Safety is a legit need, but with the top 3 gone, I'd be surprised if they jumped for Nate Allen (S, S. Florida ) or Chad Jones (S, LSU). Pouncey would warrant a serious look, but I can already picture Spikes in a Cowboys uni, and he would give the Cowboys a youthful defensive cornerstone - something they're lacking identity-wise.
Previous mock: Bulaga
PotN (Blogging the Boys): BtB has been penning some great draft pieces. I feel like linking one or two would be doing them injustice...but I'm going to do it anyway. If you find yourself with a couple minutes, though, head over and peruse. Now, with a clear conscience, let me botch this section. People say stuff about cornerbacks, but hold your horses! You might bust!
28 - San Diego Chargers - Terrence Cody, NT, Alabama (M, E, W, D)
So much has been said about what Cody doesn't do, it seems like people forget what he does do. And whether or not Jamal Williams comes back, Cody is an immediate plug-and-play NT that makes any 3-4 better on 1st and 2nd downs, if nothing else. To play my own devil's advo, they've got other solid options at NT.
Previous mock: Cody
29 - New York Jets - Golden Tate, WR, Notre Dame (M, E, W, D)
From an almost completely impartial observer: the Jets need to add talent to their receiving game, or Mark Sanchez is going to make people cry. And not because of his Fu Manchu...
Previous mock: JPP
30 - Minnesota Vikings - Markice Pouncey, C, Florida (M, E)
At this point in the draft, it gets much tougher. What needs does a team like Minnesota really have? The chasm between teams like the Vikings and the Rams in terms of talent is ridiculous. Last time, I went with a power DT (Dan Williams) to fill in for the Williamses in the near future. I've flipped to the other side of the interior line; protecting Brett Favre for one (or more?) last run has to be the biggest priority for the Purple in 2010.
Previous mock: Dan Williams
31 - Indianapolis Colts - Brandon Graham, DE, Michigan (M, E, W, D)
Robert Mathis is set to hit free agency after the 2011 season; bringing someone like Graham on now gives him time to learn on a curve opposite Freeney (who's not a FA until '13).
Previous mock: Brian Price (DT, UCLA)
32 - New Orleans Saints - Sean Weatherspoon, OLB, Missouri (M, E, W, D)
This still fits need, value, and talent. I know a lot of Rams fans were hoping this one would change. Sorry.
Previous mock: Weatherspoon
PotN (Canal Street Chronicles): Scott Fujita is a good person. Really, that's it. No subtext, no "he was arrested for abusing his wife the next day", just a good guy doing a good thing. I know, it's weird. Let's move on.
Will this be enough to soothe the Suh camp? Probably not, but it'd be a hell of a plan B.
4 (36) - Chiefs - Jonathan Dwyer, RB, Georgia Tech (M, E, W, D)
A perfect foil for Jamaal Charles, and a great weapon to give Matt Cassel. On the back of the Okung pick, Chiefs quickly putting together that includes more than Dwayne Bowe.
5 (37) - Redskins - Jahvid Best, RB, Cal (M, E, W)
7 (39) - Raiders - Jared Odrick, DT, Penn St. (M, E, W, D)
I woudn't be surprised to see Gresham fall to day 2. With such a stacked first round, who's going to pull the trigger on an oft-injured TE who hasn't seen much game action in the last two calendar years? And consider this one a bit biased; I mocked Brandon Pettigrew to the Bills non-stop last year, so the Bills-TE vibe is back in full swing.
10 (42) - Bucs (via Chicago) - Greg Hardy, DE, Ole Miss (M, E, W)
12 (44) - Patriots (via Jacksonville) - Arthur Jones, DT, Syracuse (M, E, D)
A bit high for Jones? Maybe, considering his injuries. But putting Jones aside the recently resigned Wilfork after taking Kindle in the 1st and with two picks to come would be a great start to putting together a Patriotic defense for 2010.
13 (45) - Broncos - Vladimir Ducasse, OG, Massachusetts (M, E, D)
14 (46) - Giants - Devin McCourty, CB, Rutgers (M, E, D)
16 (48) - Carolina Panthers - Navorro Bowman, OLB, Penn St. (M, E)
Between the off-field reputation and the depth of other positions, Bowman drops pretty heavily; I doubt the Panthers will complain if they get this much talent with their first pick.
18 (50) - Chiefs (via Atlanta) - Cam Thomas, DT, N. Carolina (E)
20 (52) - Steelers - Kareem Jackson, CB, Alabama (M, E, W, D)
21 (53) - Patriots - Mardy Gilyard, WR, Cincinnati (M, E, D)
The next Laurinaitis? It's not that ridiculous a thought. The Bengals would do well to add some technique and football intellect to play aside the raw power Maualuga unleashes every damn down.
23 (55) - Eagles - Ricky Sapp, DE/OLB, Clemson (M, E, D)
24 (56) - Packers - Selvish Capers, OT, West Virginia (E, D)
25 (57) - Ravens - Anthony McCoy, TE, USC (E, D)
26 (58) - Cardinals - Chris Cook, CB, Virginia (E)
28 (60) - Seahawks (via San Diego) - Colt McCoy, QB, Texas (M, E, W)
I have absolutely no idea what Seattle is doing anymore. Every move they make confuses me, and I'm starting to think they're trying to out-Raider the Raiders. Just to recap, after bringing in DE Chris Clemons and QB Charlie Whitehurst, I'm mocking a DE in the first and a QB in the second. And I'm defending the plausibity of these moves. Strange days.
29 (61) - Jets - Corey Wootton, DE, Northwestern (M, E, W)
30 (62) - Vikings - Amari Spievey, CB, Iowa (E)
31 (63) - Colts - Daryl Washington, OLB, TCU (M, E, W, D)
32 (64) - Saints - Lamarr Houston, DT, Texas (E)
1 (65) - Rams - Thaddeus Gibson, OLB, Ohio St. (E)
Gibson joins his old Buckeye teammate James Laurinaitis to form the basis of a technically sound LB corps for the future in St. Louis.
2 (66) - Lions - Jon Asamoah, G, Illinois (E)
3 (67) - Bucs - Brandon LaFell, WR, LSU (M, E, W, D)
4 (68) - Chiefs - Mike Williams, WR, Syracuse (E)
6 (70) - Eagles (via Seattle) - George Selvie, DE, South Florida (M, E, D)
7 (71) - Browns - Aaron Hernandez, TE, Florida (M, E, W)
8 (72) - Bills - Eric Decker, WR, Minnesota (E, W)
10 (74) - Jaguars - Roddrick Muckelroy, OLB, Texas (E)
11 (75) - Chicago Bears - Rodger Saffold, OT, Indiana (D)
If they don't trade down, I fail to see how the Lions pass on Suh.
PotN (Windy City Gridiron): I don't know if it's all the offseason roster changes, but these guys are pretty giddy over throwing out 3rd round names. Of course, when you're a man, there's no excuse for giddiness; it's like being joyous or feeling scorned. You lost your shot at enjoying those things with your soprano voice back in 8th grade.