NFL Draft Prospects: QB

The following are the QB prospects as rated by myself basing it off my eye and other scouting reports.  I couldn't find a real good media outlet that has done this already so I'm doing the honors myself.  It's complete with reasoning for why he does and doesn't belong in the NFL, their projected round placement, and their "upside" (for the first ten QBs)

I will be doing a weekly featuring with QBs this week, RBs next week, all that will perfectly place themselves the week before the NFL Draft.  So get to know the prospects that we could pick before we draft them rather than you find yourself scratching your head saying, "What the hell?"  (In other words, every 6th, 7th rounder)


                                               1. Sam Bradford, Oklahoma Sooners



Why He Belongs Here: He had a terrific sophomore season, but chose to bypass the NFL Draft in the hopes of a BCS Championship. He has tremendous accuracy throwing for 69.5% in 2007 and 67.9% in 2008. He averages 5.5 TDs before he threw an interception in his Oklahoma career.

Why He Doesnt: Injury concerns (played in three games, one full one in 2009), has a ton of weapons he won't get in the NFL, he was sacked 25 times in three years (he'll likely get sacked that much in one year in NFL)

Upside - I won't be surprised if he's a bust given his great talent around him at Oklahoma, but I certainly won't be surprised if he's a 3 time Pro Bowler either.... hence his upside

Projected Pick: Top Ten

The next 26 QBs are after the jump.

                                2. Jimmy Clausen, Notre Dame Fighting Irish



Why He Belongs Here: He was sacked 80 times in his career so you know he can take a hit, had a 68% CP in his junior year, improved in every stat this year signaling he's figured it out (3172 yards to 3722; 25 TDs to28; 17 INTs to 4; QB rating of 132.49 to 161.43)

Why He Doesn't: Despite those statistic s, his team went just 6-6 questioning how much of a difference he made to what was assumed to be a talented team, went 16-21 as a starter, has a cocky attitude (somewhat unwarranted), less than ideal size at 6'2

Upside - Given his stats, he could be great and it depends on whether that cocky attitude can become Phillip Rivers or not

Projected Pick: Top Ten

                                      3. Tony Pike, Cincinnati Bearcats



Why He Belongs Here: He's got more than ideal NFL size at 6'6, 225, led Cincinnati team to the Sugar Bowl, could pick up NFL offense easy with his intelligence, very adept at moving in the pocket (something Rams desperately need)

Why he Doesn't: He didn't face elite competition and when he did.... Sugar Bowl 2010, doesn't have a particularly strong arm, was inconsistent throughout his tenure at Cincinnati

Upside - Tons especially considering he's projected a second round pick... bust here and it won't hurt u as much as a 1st round pick

Projected Pick: 2nd round

                             4. Dan Lefevour, Central Michigan Chippewas



Why He Belongs: Think Tebow, with NFL size (6'3, 225), right-handed (teams prepare assuming this), and a better passer (69.7%), He accumulated better stats in his four years than Tebow, a playmaker with his legs (737 per year, 47 TDs) and arm (3,226 per year, 102 TDs)
Why He Doesn't: He plays in Michigan and it isn't Ann Arbor, doesn't have a strong arm, he'll need more seasoning to adjust to the competition

Upside: Honestly, pretty high, it all depends on how he adjusts to the competition, but he made plays in CM

Projected Pick: 2nd round

                                     5. Colt McCoy, Texas Longhorns



Why He Belongs: He's a winner with the most wins ever by a QB in college football, has extremely good accuracy with 70% CP and 76% CP the past two seasons, is 3-1 in bowl games and the one loss stems from a 1st quarter injury

Why He Doesn't: He doesn't have a strong arm, he may have played with too many good weapons that pad his stats


Upside: Despite that one weakness, his upside isn't thought to be too great

Projected Pick: 2nd round

                                     6. Jevan Snead, Ole Miss Rebels



Why He Belongs Here: He has a quick release, and a strong arm (something lacking in most of the other QBs), very good pocket awareness, he is a mobile QB who will run if necessary, ideal size at 6'4

Why He Doesn't: He was not consistent during the season, he transferred from Texas after losing job out to Colt McCoy, unlike McCoy has a lack of experience of only two years, very poor accuracy with 54.4%

Upside: With him completing no more than 56% of his passes in college, why would that change in NFL... upside is in arm strength and size

Projected Pick: 2-3 rounds

                                            7. Tim Tebow, Florida Gators



Why He Belongs Here: he's focused as anyone (just look at "The Speech" last year), got as about as good character as you can get, extremely consistent, threw just 16 INTs in 4 years, scored 145 TDs in college, a fall-back option is TE or fullback

Why He Doesn't: That fall-back option wouldn't be a good thing and he actually projects better as a fullback or TE (aka not worthy of the pick he'd get), he's lefthanded (harsh, but only Mike Vick has really suceeded with it), uncomfortable behind center (fumbled 3 straight during Senior Bowl practice)

Upside: Limited given the fact that he NEEDs to know how to receive snaps under center, and is still learning what comes simply to a lot of QBs

Projected Pick: 3rd round

                                    8. Jarrett Brown, West Virginia Mountaineers



Why He Belongs Here: Has excellent size for a QB at 6'4, 225, he had a decent 63.2% that NFL teams can work with, is a threat on the ground with 452 yards rushing and 6 TDs

Why He Doesn't: Very inexperienced starting just one year, threw 11 TDs with 9 picks,

Upside: He has tremendous upside because of his potential to grow, but he hasn't shown enough to warrant a high pick

Projected Pick: 4th round

                                                9. Bill Stull, Pittsburgh Panthers



Why He Belongs Here: he played in a pro-style offense meaning easy transition, 65.1% shows he has good accuracy, 21 TDs to 8 INTs

Why he Doesn't: He had little pressure as he was the second option on the offense, he played against Big East competition, which is not the strongest

Upside: NFL Starter potential, but I don't think he looks like a potential star, just solid starter
Projected Pick: 3-4 rounds

                                10. Zac Robinson, Oklahoma State Cowboys



Why He Belongs: best QB in the Senior Bowl who seemed to have complete control over offense, enjoyed prolific success at Oklahoma State, 3 year starter

Why he doesn't: 6'2 isn't ideal NFL QB, he struggled without top flight wideout Dez Bryant throwing 59% with 15 TDs and 12 INTs in games he missed
Upside: He has some upside as an NFL Starter but nothing too exciting
Projected Pick: 3-4 rounds

11. Sean Canfield, Oregon State Beavers
Summary: completed 67.9% of his passes, put OSU right next to USC in past seasons, but his upside consists as a backup
Projected Pick: 4-5 rounds

12. Jonathon Crompton, Tennessee Volunteers
Summary: Showed much improvement when he was with a good coaching staff, but the 58% is trouble; 6'4, 225 QB size will keep him high
Projected Pick: 4-5 rounds

13. Max Hall, BYU Cougars
Summary: Had outstanding success with the Cougars but is only 6'1 and therefore will get low status
Projected Pick: 5th round

14. Ryan Perrilloux, Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Summary: Troubled former blue-chip QB had great success in I-AA, but managed to complete just 58.9% of his passes
Projected Pick: 5-6 round

15. Joe Webb, UAB Blazers
Summary: The lesser man's Pat White, but with better height and less passing ability; 1,421 rushing yards
Projected Pick: 6th round

16. John Skelton, Fordham Flash
Summary: A I-AA player who has great size at 6'5 and is likely invited for that reason
Projected Pick: 6th-7th round

17. Mike Kafka, Northwestern Wildcats
Summary: His unimpressive record and unimpressive 16 TDs to 12 INTs might make him go undrafted
Projected Pick: 7th round

18. Levi Brown, Troy Trojans
Summary: He is 6'4 and threw for 64.5%, but his college offense drastically differs from any NFL offense
Projected Pick: 7th round

19. Tim Hiller, Western Michigan Broncos
Summary: After a strong junior season that had potential for Day 1, he dissapointed with poor results in 2009
Projected Pick: 7th round

20. Rusty Smith, Florida Atlantic Owls
Summary: Solid TD-INT ratio and yard totals, but his poor completion percentage and bad competition ruins his 6'5 size
Projected Pick: undrafted

21. Darryl Clark, Penn State Nittany Lions
Summary: Has less than ideal size at 6'2, but had success in Penn State in a offense that doesn't relate to NFL
Projected Pick: undrafted

22. Chris Turner, Maryland Terrapins
Summary: He barely played in college but shows good mechanics and size
Projected Pick: Undrafted

23. Thaddues Lewis, Duke Blue Devils
Summary: His stats were ok, but his offense doesn't translate to the NFL (reccurring theme?)
Projected Pick: undrafted

24. Matt Nichols, Eastern Washington Eagles
Summary: 3,744 yards, 34 TDs, 9 INTs for his his 2009 season against I-AA and he's only 6'2, but he'll likely get a look
Projected Pick: Undrafted

25. Riley Skinner (Wake Forest Demon Deacons), Joe Cox (Geogia Bulldogs), Juice Williams (Illinois Fighting Illini)
Summary: Skinner for mediocre success and 6'1 size, Cox for 55.7% CP, and Williams because of his college offense
Projected Picks: undrafted

The QBs consist of with powerhouse school QBs in McCoy, Clausen, and Bradford, the trifecta of Washington QBs (Eastern, Central, Western), a plethora of successful college QBs with low draft stock (Tebow, Hall, Clark, Robinson, Snead), and a couple I-AA talents.

That's every single QB who is eligible for the draft.  On average for the past four drafts, 12 QBs were taken in the NFL Draft so my projected picks are probably a little bit off.

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