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Rams playoffs odds

ST. LOUIS - NOVEMBER 21: Head coach Steve Spagnuolo of the St. Louis Rams looks on from the sideline against the Atlanta Falcons at the Edward Jones Dome on November 21 2010 in St. Louis Missouri.  The Falcons beat the Rams 34-17.  (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)

The St. Louis Rams are sitting on a 5-6 record heading into the stretch. With five more games to play, the NFC West title is in sight, and the Rams' first playoff appearance since 2004. 

According to Football Outsiders' playoff odds report the Rams have a 28.7 percent chance of winning the division title. That's the third best. San Francisco gets 30.3 percent odds, and Seattle has the best odds at 39.6 percent. That's the tightest race of any division.  

The Rams' mean wins projection is 7, slightly less than Seattle's 7.1. 

More and more, it looks like the division title is going to come down to the season's last week, when the Rams travel to Seattle. Of course, there are some important games between then and now too. For instance, beating SF in St. Louis in week 16 is a must win game. 

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Nervous

Not sure if it’s just me, but the more press the Rams get the more nervous I get.

Even this game against Arizona has me a bit on edge. Winning a game on the road when they’re suppose to win is something I have faith the Rams can do, but still have this nervous little pang that something crazy might happen.

I can’t imagine how much of a nervous wreck I will be going into the last game against the Seahawks.

by JTPirate on Dec 3, 2010 7:04 AM CST reply actions  

Nervous 2

I hear ya, dude. The Rams need to win the rest of their divisional games. If they do we’re in. These next few games are going to show us what the Rams are really made of.
Word of note to Bartell. You better bring your A game because if you don’t Fitzgerald is going to be a BIG problem for us. If you don’t step it up which has happened numerous times this season then maybe we need to find someone who will.

by johnny scuba on Dec 3, 2010 7:35 AM CST reply actions  

Fitz was pretty well shut down the first time we played.

I think we better hope DX stays on his feet the rest of the games. We get to see the new TE this weekend also, because Ah Oh is out.

Should be interesting.

by OakCityRam on Dec 3, 2010 8:25 AM CST up reply actions  

yeah but Fitz was at about 80% just coming off an injury

this game will be a real test for Bartell. I hope he can shut him down at 100% like he shut him down at 80%

by stlfan2004 on Dec 3, 2010 8:46 AM CST up reply actions  

49ers have a better chance to win the division than Rams?

sitting at 4-7, and they play Green Bay and San Diego coming up.. so they will definitely lose 9 games… though if they beat the Rams AND Seattle to make a 3 way tie at 7-9, they win the tie breaker

by PCarn on Dec 3, 2010 7:49 AM CST reply actions  

Yeah that befuddled me also

I think they will beat seattle at home, but I dont see them going on the road to beat the Rams, just like we couldnt go into their house and beat them. This is a division of weak teams, one thing about weak teams is that they cant win on the road.

As for seattle I get that we are tied and strength of schedule is about the same as the Rams going forward and they might win on the road at candlestick, but how do you give a team with a point differential of -66 the best chance to win given the teams are tied. They have lost 4 out of their last five and the Rams have lost 3 out of their last 5 but all four hawks losses were massive blowouts and 1 arizona win.

by leadhead on Dec 3, 2010 8:22 AM CST up reply actions  

One major reason.

Our remaining game with them is in Seattle. That swings it in their favor, though on a neutral site, F.O. thinks we’re better than the Seahawks. If we don’t win that game, we probably don’t win the division.

by Spielman on Dec 3, 2010 2:09 PM CST up reply actions  

I don't know why it bothers me

but I really hope if we win the division we get to .500. I really don’t want to be the first team to ever get to the playoffs with a losing record.

by RamsFan7 on Dec 3, 2010 7:55 AM CST reply actions  

I wouldn't mind if we got in with a record of 7-9.

As long as we beat the Niners and Seahawks and just GET IN to the playoffs.

I'm suffering from an extreme case of laurinaitis!

by NachoD on Dec 3, 2010 10:22 AM CST up reply actions  

playoffs

i dont care how we get in as long as we get some national spotlight game. would love for the country to see what sam and company are all about

by RAISEtheDEAD on Dec 3, 2010 8:10 AM CST reply actions  

Derek Anderson might be the worst starting QB in NFL

If we cant beat the Cards now then Rams aint ready.Devaney works another solid draft class and free agents I predict 10+ wins next year.

by Thomas W on Dec 3, 2010 8:12 AM CST reply actions  

At least we are looking at PO's

It’s been what 6 yrs. since we have a good shot at playoffs?

by rlf707 on Dec 3, 2010 11:42 AM CST reply actions  

2006

Were 1 field goal away (vs and @ Seattle). If the Rams had won either of those, they would have been in the playoffs.

"I have something 95 percent of all those All-Stars only wish they had: a World Series ring. If I had to choose between that and being an All-Star, it would be no contest. I’d grab the gold ring and never look back." -Tim Salmon

by BruinHalo on Dec 3, 2010 12:13 PM CST up reply actions  

The odds makers must not be counting on DX

I think we all know that if the Rams are able to put together a " STRONG" showing here in the final 5 games it will be with the help of DX. I think the DX factor is far greater than these odds makers are willing to admit. Stretching the field, throwing deep, opening up other receivers….. all of this and more. Welcome aboard DX, show’em what you got!

The only thing comparable to a Rams win is a 49er loss!

by DevsLaRams on Dec 3, 2010 11:43 AM CST reply actions  

Just enjoy it!

To be where we are now when MOST of us here picked 5-6 wins for the season is as good as being in the playoffs for me. To have this chance to squeak in is just GREAT! Even Peter King is taken note.
Rams 27-14
Seattle loses 21-20
S.F. loses 42-20

"The only thing better than watching the Rams win is watching the Rams win with my wife."

by Taosman on Dec 3, 2010 1:20 PM CST reply actions  

I did a thing on espn and I got us in the playoffs even losing in Seattle.

I had us beating KC at home tho

I can take a beating ... I'm a Rams fan.

by Midasknight on Dec 3, 2010 2:42 PM CST reply actions  

Yeah, I figured it that way too. the Rams are much much better at home

KC is good, but unless you are atlanta, I dont think the Rams get beat at home…I could be wrong though.

by leadhead on Dec 3, 2010 11:49 PM CST up reply actions  

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