Saints heavily favored over the Rams; should they be?
by Ryan Van Bibber on Dec 10, 2010 11:39 AM CST
in 2010 St. Louis Rams season
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PrintI'm not surprised that the New Orleans Saints are favored over the St. Louis Rams. The Rams, surprising as their season may be, still have a few adjustments to make before they're playing like the defending Super Bowl champs, to say the least.
Just how much of an underdog are the Rams this week? It varies from 9-10 points, a big spread no matter how you look at it. Only Cincinnati at Pittsburgh has a similar spread.
The Rams have played five teams with at least a .500 record this season, going 2-3. Of those five teams, only the Buccaneers, Seahawks and Falcons had records of .500 or better when the Rams played them. In short, the Rams don't have a very good track record against winning teams, with schedule makers having some responsibility for that.
A win over the Saints would erase most of the asterisks next to the Rams for prognosticators and playoff predictions. They got over the road win hump, now it's time to scale the next obstacle.
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I like the Saints and everything
but a win New Orleans would pretty much be the best thing ever. Right now our most impressive win was San Diego at home, and the Chargers have been weird like that all year.
Just makes you wonder...
…with all the talk about an NFC West team going into the playoffs with a losing record. What do you think everyone will say if the Rams can knock off the defending champs and go into week 15 with a 7-6 record and solidly entrenched in first place?
I'm suffering from an extreme case of laurinaitis!
I'm thinking 9-7.
Suddenly that last game against the Seahawks won’t matter and we will be able to rest our starters going into the playoffs!
Hell Yeah!!
I'm suffering from an extreme case of laurinaitis!
maybe then we'd get some national coverage.... espn?
that would be nice
The only thing comparable to a Rams win is a 49er loss!
Saints first
then I’ll start thinking about 10-6
by Both Hawks Suck! on Dec 10, 2010 12:49 PM CST up reply actions
The spread makes sense.
Remember, we’re on the road, and that makes a significant difference. The Saints have a much better record, and they’ve done it while playing a harder schedule. There’s every reason to think they’ve been a better football team so far this season.
Doesn’t mean the Rams have no shot, or should give up. Far from it.
They do have the better team
But the Rams have covered the spread in all but two games this season (@Det, vs ATL).
by Smoooth Criminal on Dec 10, 2010 12:24 PM CST reply actions
No way they should be favored that much.
New Orleans has 5 wins by less than a TD, to bad teams: Vikings, 49ers, Carolina, Dallas, and the Bengals. They also lost to Arizona and Cleveland.
Not saying we should win this, but I’ll be very disappointed if were not at least in it with a chance to win in the fourth quarter.
Definitely a chance to shut up some naysayers and finally get some respect if we can pull of the upset.
You do want the 49ers to win this week?
"The only thing better than watching the Rams win is watching the Rams win with my wife."
This is from Bill Simmons
Total wins by division right now: AFC East: 27; NFC South: 27; NFC East: 25; AFC North: 24; AFC South: 24; NFC North: 24; AFC West: 23; NFC West: 19. Which explains why the inordinately frisky Rams — who have only played two bad games all season — are getting this many points. It’s strictly an NFC South/NFC West line. I get it.
So why take the points? Because Jaaaaaaaaaaash Freeman’s 2010 playoff run was like a son to me. When Jaaaaaaaash’s playoff hopes died, a part of me died, too. But now, Sam Bradford, you’re the one. You’re the one who’s going to make sure that Jaaaaaash Freeman’s season didn’t die for nothing. You’re the young QB who’s going to make the playoffs way before he’s ready and allow us to quietly wager against you in Round 1. You’re the one ready to kill every three-team tease and suicide pool this week. You’re the one who’s going to keep Jaaaaash’s spirit alive. Now, you’re gonna go through hell. But in the end, I know you’re gonna be the one standing. You know what you have to do, son. Do it. Do it.
by Smoooth Criminal on Dec 10, 2010 12:54 PM CST reply actions
I see Ram upset
Rams want the W to gain some respect. I think NO penciled in a W here a long time ago. I also see SF getting the W to keep their slim PO hopes alive.
Let's not get ahead of ourselves.
Maybe I passed by the last time the kool-aid made the rounds, but there is a big difference between saying the spread is too much vs. picking an upset straight up. Last year’s defending champions would have to be mired in a slide of monumental proportions to not be favored at home by at least a TD against last year’s worst team, or any team this season from the NFC West. I’m confident the Rams will cover, but that’s as far as I’m willing to go. Now, someone please pass me that jug.
Rams will win only if
… they get get at least two turnovers more, one great special teams play, one of the W.R. have a 7rec 100 yd game and the refs don’t blow more than two calls against us ( W27-24). Otherwise we may beat the spread, but won’t win (L 28-21). S.F. wins 23-21
"The only thing better than watching the Rams win is watching the Rams win with my wife."
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