Parsing the Rams' schedule: Can you see eight wins from here?
Through six weeks the St. Louis Rams own a surprising 3-3 record, and it could have been better. More surprising is that these Rams, having already tripled their win total from a year ago, find themselves in the running for a division title.
But plenty of football remains. Some look at the Rams' schedule and still only see 5-6 wins. Naturally, injuries can change a season faster than anything, and the Rams still lack enough depth to compete should they lose key players for significant amounts of time. Setting that aside, it's worth going through the rest of the Rams schedule with a rational look at what kind of record is possible.
Week 7 - at Tampa Bay
No game is a "gimme" and to set themselves apart, the Rams have to convincingly beat teams that they outmatch. The Bucs rank among the bottom of the league on offense and defense. Still, they have a better record than a Rams team that desperately needs a road win to make themselves legit.
Van's difficultly meter (1-5 stars, 5 being most difficult): two stars...the extra star is because of that whole haven't won on the road thing.
Week 8 - vs Carolina
This is the most winnable game on the schedule right now. Carolina is terrible and playing the Rams at home where they've been very good. The trick here will be for Spagnuolo to have his team playing Carolina as air tight as they played Seattle or San Diego.
Van's difficultly meter: one star
Week 10 - at San Francisco
Who knows what to expect from the 49ers? One thing you can count on is that they won't be looking to lose to the Rams, especially when salvaging their season depends exclusively on running the table in their remaining division games. I still think this a tough one for the Rams.
Van's difficultly meter: four stars
Week 11 - vs Atlanta
They beat the reigning champs and narrowly lost to the Steelers. This team is a legitimate contender for the best team in the NFC right now. Issues in their pass defense could be their Achilles heel against the Rams.
Van's difficultly meter: five stars
Week 12 - at Denver
Denver is not a very good team this year. Like San Diego, the Broncos own a vicious passing offense led by Kyle Orton (?). The Rams pass rush has helped them stop prolific passers, except for Detroit. They'll also need to have established themselves as able to play on the road.
Van's difficultly meter: two stars
Week 13 - at Arizona
This is a hard one to read. However, the Cardinals are coming off a great win over the Saints, which mostly had to do with their defense. Chris Long and the Rams defense have a great matchup against a rookie QB, but Sam Bradford and Co. will have to erase memories of opening week to get past them.
Van's difficultly meter: four stars
Week 14 - at New Orleans
It seems like everyone's beating the champs this year, at least the Falcons and Cardinals...bird-flavored teams. So what about an animal flavored team like the Rams? Obviously, it won't be easy. The defense will have its hands full, even though the Saints' offense has come back down to Earth a little bit this season. Spagnuolo ought to have his team geared up to get back a game they could have won last year.
Van's difficultly meter: five stars
Week 15 - vs Kansas City
This seemed like one of the easier games of the season just a couple months ago. Now, it's one of the more difficult. However, KC lost their last two games, and their 3-0 start came against the Chargers, Browns and 49ers. How they respond in the weeks ahead will say plenty about their chances against the Rams. Their running game could give the Rams defense fits, but if they can shut it down, smother Bowe with Bartell and force Matt Cassell to do the heavy lifting they have a chance.
Van's difficultly meter: three stars
Week 16 - vs San Francisco
I've given the Rams slightly less difficult rating against division rivals at home. But these are still tough games. San Francisco should be out of the chase by this point, though crazy Mike could have them fired up to play the role of spoiler. I still think SF is a more dangerous team for the Rams than the Cardinals.
Van's difficultly meter: three stars
Week 17 - at Seattle
Seattle at home adds a star to the difficulty rating, and this game could have serious ramifications for the NFC West title. A win at Seattle might be just as big a feather in Spagnuolo's cap as the division crown, though it looks like a package deal from here. Injuries could have a lot to say about this game for both teams.
Van's difficultly meter: four stars
Winning feeds itself, so if the Rams can head into their week 9 bye coming off two victories against Tampa and Carolina, it could snowball. It's not easy, but 8 wins is not improbable for the Rams if they continue to get a little better, play a little tighter as the season goes on AND avoid injuries.
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I'm going to be a bit pessemistic here...
and say the Rams finish at 7-9. At the beginning of the season, however, that would’ve had people around here ecstatic to say the least. Our troubles on the road will continue this week, as I see the Bucs taking this one even with Steven Jackson pounding the ball down their throats for 60 minutes.
The remaining wins will be…
Week 8 – vs Carolina
Week 12 – at Denver (Mile High is always incredibly difficult to play, but that Denver D is absolutely garbage.)
Week 13 – at Arizona
Week 16 – vs San Francisco
That being said, I wouldn’t rule out us beating the Chiefs in Week 15. How surprising is it to say that there’s a good chance that particular game will have playoff implications for BOTH teams?
This team has already come a long way from the squad we marched (er…crawled) onto the field last season. If we do find a way to win the division, then I believe Spags has to be a lock for the NFL Coach of the Year.
When I gave up a grand slam to Pete LaCock," Bob Gibson said later, "I knew it was time to quit.
The Bucs have 4 sacks all year
Sam is going to have a nice easy day playing catch with Alexander, Gibson, and Amendola.
Just when you think that in this league it goes the opposite way
Every single time.
by TheNaturalMevs on Oct 21, 2010 2:20 PM CDT up reply actions
Don't sweat it.
That’s not being pessimistic, most of us would be thrilled with a 7-9 season in Bradford’s rookie year.
"If Dr. Frankenstein were to steal body parts and construct a perfect QB, the final product would look like Bradford. He has John Elway's size, Dan Marino's arm, Kurt Warner's accuracy and Stephen Hawking's brain."
Call me crazy
but i see 9 or even 10 wins we only going to get better as the season goes on. Sam is going to get better and the O Line is playing good so down the line they only going to get better so I see 9 or 10
After watching the first 6 games, I don't think I'd rate a road game below 3 stars
and I wouldn’t rate a home game above 4 stars.
For the most part I agree with your ratings though. I really hope we can beat Tampa Bay, and their terrible D-Line makes me think Sam Bradford will have a great game. From there we have probably the easiest win of the season, Carolina at home.
From there I think at minimum we can steal a road game and win a couple more at home, so I’d say an 8-8 record is okay.
I think how we make the playoffs is if Sam Bradford keeps improving and Steven Jackson stays healthy we could be a force at the tail end of the season. Thankfully that is when two of our biggest games against SanFran and Seattle are. Week 17 @ Seattle looks to be a HUGE game, although that is looking quite a bit down the road.
One upside of all the shitty football we’ve had to endure these past years is that I would be happy with this season if we didn’t make the playoffs as long as I got 16 watchable games of Rams football. I doubt their are many fans as happy as Rams fans are right now.
Maybe Rams get a flex Thursday night football appearance?
by TheNaturalMevs on Oct 21, 2010 2:20 PM CDT up reply actions
no flexes on thursday night
only sunday afternoon games can be flexed into sunday night games. the thursday night games are already scheduled.
follow me on twitter @nickg105, @Rams_Fan_Voice
by stlcardinalsfang on Oct 21, 2010 2:41 PM CDT up reply actions
why are people overlooking Denver?
Mile High is pretty tough to play at, and the Broncos were one pass interference penalty away from taking down the Jets, arguably one of the 3 best teams in the league.
by jb22 on Oct 21, 2010 1:01 PM CDT reply actions 1 recs
If Danario plays well and we stay healthy
then we can WIN EVERY SINGLE GAME LEFT ON THE SCHEDULE!!!
Naturally we won’t win every game, but I think we’ll go 6-4 for a final record of 9-7 and win the division.
That’s my story and I’m sticking to it. And to Hell with anybody who thinks less :)
by Pekka for Predator Pontiff on Oct 21, 2010 1:10 PM CDT reply actions
Oh, and it'll all be cause of Sam Bradford
by Pekka for Predator Pontiff on Oct 21, 2010 1:12 PM CDT up reply actions
Wow...you are going to start that already???
by crashoveride01 on Oct 21, 2010 1:36 PM CDT up reply actions
I'm just having fun with it! Who cares the means? It's the ends that matter!
by Pekka for Predator Pontiff on Oct 21, 2010 2:01 PM CDT up reply actions
Mr. Weber, you are starting to sound worthy of a presidential vote!
6-4 on remaining schedule? I like it ! Go Rams GO !
The only thing comparable to a Rams win is a 49er loss!
Tampa Bay
is going to be the most important game of the season as far as getting a feel of how the Rams will do the rest of the way. The Bucs are a very beatable team. However, they are at home so the degree of difficulty gets ratcheted up a bit. This the perfect test for the Rams to “get the hooves wet” winning on the road. Detriot was a little different in that they were due for a win and the perfect storm was there. Tampa Bay, however, seems a little flat. Just my opinion. And if the Rams want to make a statement to the league and themselves then they simply HAVE to win this game. Very fun weekend of football for the the state of MO. Important games to play.
Same thoughts...
… the game at Tampa Bay is going to be critical for the fate of the Rams this season. If we win on Sunday, I can see us going to the Carolina game with high motivations to be 5-3 at the break. Go Rams!
Id bump that denver game up to 3.5 stars and the arizona one down to 2
our defense is great at stuffing the run but i still worry about how they can handle a real powerful passing attack. sure the chargers had one but they had guys injured and rivers missed wide open targets and the receivers had some terrible drops. the cardinals are still trash. just because they got their third lucky win of the season doesnt make them legit. their rankings are down near the bottom for everything. max hall is still young and inexperienced and he will make a lot of mistakes. i dont see them sneaking away with another win even if it is in arizona. our young team will be much improved by then
If we had a good wideout
I would say about 9-10 wins. Last season we played good coming out the bye week almost beating the Saints so if we can win these two before the bye week maybe we can beat the 49ers. I’m predicting no less than 7 no more than 10
by Tevin T. Broner on Oct 21, 2010 2:34 PM CDT reply actions
Wins.
@TB
Carolina
@SF (coming off the bye, we should be dialed in)
@Arizona
KC
SF
We stay relatively healthy, and opening up the playbook, then these games should be wins given our momentum.
block! building kick! exploooooooosion!
by mooseknuckles41 on Oct 21, 2010 2:52 PM CDT reply actions
9-7 would be excellent
I agree with your projections for the most part, but I am more optimistic about the Seattle game than most (as the division could be on the line and we’re a hungrier team) and slightly more pessimistic about the Chiefs on 12/19.
8-8 should be attainable; 9-7 would be swell.
10-6? That would get the dome filled next year for sure.
The emotions of the game do not change.
by Jack Youngblood on Oct 22, 2010 9:03 AM CDT up reply actions
Execution/Mentality
When our team has both down, then we are going to be very tough to beat. We’re getting there, under the coaching/leadership. I’m looking forward to Sunday’s match-up to see if we finally get that road victory!
How I see it.
Now 3-3
@ TB; W 4-3
CAR; W 5-3
@ SF; L 5-4
ATL; L 5-5
@ DEN; L 5-6
@ ARI; W 6-6
@ NO; L 6-7
KC; W 7-7
SF; L 7-8
@SEA; L 7-9
The last two games for me are the trickiest. We win at home vs SF if they’ve mailed it in by that point, but if they get their season turned around, they win. Seattle is not a very good team, but they play above their heads at home.
I wouldn’t be surprised with 8-8 but I think 7-9 is about right.
I can take a beating ... I'm a Rams fan.
I hope we at least
split with SF.
This is a useless endeavor
Nobody can predict the last few weeks of the season. What if a team is trying to rest people for the playoffs(Colts 2009). What if there is a bar-fight for the last wildcard or division position ? Until this season unfolds more there is no way to tell. I know this though; the more the Rams win the more pissed I am about the ’Zona and Raiders game. It does feel nice to actually have feeling again though. So at least there is that.
P.S. Watch SJ run WILD I say WILD this weekend!!!
I don't think
anyone in the West will be resting at the end of the season lol.
"If Dr. Frankenstein were to steal body parts and construct a perfect QB, the final product would look like Bradford. He has John Elway's size, Dan Marino's arm, Kurt Warner's accuracy and Stephen Hawking's brain."
it's fun
its not meant to actually predict otherwise the rams would be 2-4 or something
by stlcardsfan4 on Oct 22, 2010 8:00 AM CDT up reply actions
Call me crazy but...
I see 9-7.
@ TB Win
CAR; W 5-3
@ SF; W 6-3
ATL; L 6-4
@ DEN; L 6-5
@ ARI; W 7-5
@ NO; L 7-6
KC; W 8-6
SF; W 9-6
@SEA; 9-7
I could go either way with sweeping the 9ers or the seahawks, but I think we sweep one of them and I wouldn’t be surprised if we take one from either ATL, DEN or NO.
My picks too.
But the away game at SF could go either way for me, as can the KC game. I’m very much expecting a win this week against an inferior (but not bad) Tampa Bay team.
"If Dr. Frankenstein were to steal body parts and construct a perfect QB, the final product would look like Bradford. He has John Elway's size, Dan Marino's arm, Kurt Warner's accuracy and Stephen Hawking's brain."
That's close to how i see it,
difference is, i think we win @ denver and probably not win vs KC. Then at the seahags we can go either way. I thought we’d be close .500 from the begining of the season but now it looks like we could probably do a little better.
This next game is a big game. With no wins on the road, The Rams need to prove to themselves that they can and will win on the road. Tampa Bay is a lot better team, this year, than I would have expected them to be so this should really define the rest of the season for us. Can we beat a good team on the road? Aint nothin to it but to do it!
Go Rams!
"SJAX" - The extra strength cleaner that fights off that Stubborn, Stingy Defense
I think your star system is fair.
However with the team being so young and under a 2nd year HC, consistency is going to be extremely difficult to achieve.
This Rams team has great fire and emotion and that gives them a big boost (and it is pretty awesome to see my Rams not taking any shit from anybody) in the games they play. But can they take it to the next level where they also become meticulous in their preparation and game execution?
Ultimately the cool thing is the Rams are a team that has the capability to defeat any team in the NFL on any Sunday.
You had also mentioned being dangerously thin due to injury. However this looks like one of the teams strengths now. The Rams can win football games with quite a few backups in the game…in fact I should say backups in for the rest of the season. I mean look at the Vikings…and I would say that Green Bay’s sudden injury strike while bad wasnt worse than the Rams… when the Rams start getting healthy again…my god! The defense is going to get even better rotating fresh legs in at all 3 levels of defense with players that are smart and get after it!! Imagine when Fendi lines with DX in the redzone…who will get the jump ball? I dont know, but that is what the opposing defenses will be asking!
I do not
Foresee the Rams overlooking any more beatable road games this season after the trouncing that was detroit. IF we can stay mostly healthy I am very optimistic about our chances to win the division. Arizona squeeked by us, the raiders (road game) beat us via back pocket ref. We overlooked the Lions and paid the price.
I say overlooked because
Even though the players and coaches would have you think otherwise, the 0-4 detroit lions are nearly impossible to not be overlooked. 44-6 tells the tale.
Part of me is irked that we all look past Carolina
We know what it’s like to be that team. Heck, we’re still that team to many folks. I think I have a healthy dose of humility when I say I think the Rams should beat them, but Carolina might pull it out. It happens.
Anyway, I see likely wins @TB, vs Car, @Ari, vs SF
Everything else, I’ll be grateful for a victory.
"I have something 95 percent of all those All-Stars only wish they had: a World Series ring. If I had to choose between that and being an All-Star, it would be no contest. I’d grab the gold ring and never look back." -Tim Salmon
by BruinHalo on Oct 22, 2010 1:56 AM CDT via mobile reply actions
Unless Carolina gets their quarterback situation straightened out
then I don’t see them beating us. Clausen is their future, no doubt, but they’re starting Moore again and he’s just bad. He’s a game manager who can’t manage the games because the running game isn’t going.
"If Dr. Frankenstein were to steal body parts and construct a perfect QB, the final product would look like Bradford. He has John Elway's size, Dan Marino's arm, Kurt Warner's accuracy and Stephen Hawking's brain."
thats where carolina will have issues
JIMMY CLAUSEN is their future… that’s a bleak ass future dude! lol
I want us to win this for more than just being a Rams win, but I want it to showcase just HOW superior Sam is to Clausen.
I have said it since I first saw WalterFootball champion Clausen, Clausen is just not gonna be that good.
it offended me when people considered Clausen a viable selection for the Rams.
Bradford to Onobun!
I think that the next 2 games before the bye week need to W's
to get to 8-8. Win on the road vs a beatable TB and hold serve at home vs a not-so-good Carolina team to get into the break at 5-3. The seconf half schedule proves to be much more difficult with 5 road games and stiffer competition.
I could see 2nd half season wins @AZ, vKC, and vSF. Any other W’s wouldn’t be expected but would be very welcome! SF at home with their life depending on it will be tough, Atl and NO are more talented teams, Mile High is a difficult place to get a road W as is Qwest.
And no one forget the x factor……..Shurmur’s play calling. The more he opens it up IMO – the greater the chance at Ws, the more conservative approach may cost us a winnable game (or more).
I should be working right now...
I have no problems with us, the fans looking past Carolina.
Just so long as the players don’t, the Rams should win.

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