Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Trent Richardson Interviews Fellow Brown Brandon Weeden

Rams by the numbers

Football Outsiders has their first DVOA calculations for the 2009 NFL season. (For those of you new to the site or new to DVOA, it's Defense-adjusted Value Over Average, a number that gauges success on a play-by-play basis. The full definition is here). One thing to keep in mind is that negative numbers for offense are bad, correlating to less likelihood of plays being successful. Vice versa for defense.

The numbers of the Rams are, well, they're not good, which is what you would have expected after last week's game.

The Rams overall DVOA ought to be enough to put a final nail in the coffin of ridiculous weekly power rankings. It won't, but it does confirm that, statistically speaking anyway, the Rams are not the worst team in the league in the wake of National Jump to Conclusions Week. Combining the total team performance, offense, defense and special teams, the Rams have an overall DVOA of -60.5%. That's not good, but is better than the overall DVOA for the Detroit Lions (-100.2%) and the Carolina Panthers (-116.4%). Let's dig into the individual units.

OFFENSE

Total Pass Rush
2009 -43.6% (29) -31.1% (26) -6.8% (17)
2008 -24.0% (32) -26.1% (32) -10.4% (29)

 

Those number confirm what we saw on the field this weekend. What sticks out is the (relative) success of the run, and the decision to abandon it. You can expect the overall DVOA to rise in the coming weeks...at least I hope.

DEFENSE

Total Pass Rush
2009 17.3% (24) 34% (22) 1.4% (21)
2008 23.4% (25) 23.7% (27) 23% (32)

 

The pass defense suffered the most because of the damage done in the middle. Hasselbeck and TE John Carlson had a thread between them. He caught six of eight passes thrown to him. Laurinaitis played a helluva game, but he struggled with coverage, as did David Vobora. Those are the guys that have to keep a read on the TE, lock him out of the play or keep him restrained to short dump off stuff. We'll see how much film review and practice has beefed them up in coverage since they face another tough TE matchup against Washington's Chris Cooley. You wonder if the run defense might have better had Adeyanju not been inactive.

Can't make too many judgements on just one game, but this already looks like a much improved unit over what we've seen from the Rams defense in recent years. There's still lots of work to do.

SPECIAL TEAMS

Total
2009 0.3% (13)
2008 -0.2% (27)

 

This is something that can bounce from week to week. Other than a botched field goal and an inability to count players and fumble to start the game, coverage was good and returners got some solid yardage numbers.

Hopefully, this time next week, the numbers will look a little better. At least there's a silver lininig or two here.

Comment 6 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

At least the numbers improved.

Spagamania is in full bloom

by Eric Nagel on Sep 16, 2009 11:33 AM CDT reply actions  

numbers show a bit of optimism.

nfltouchdown.com

find me under the fan voices section for the st. louis rams

by stlcardinalsfang on Sep 16, 2009 11:55 AM CDT reply actions  

So does this DVOA take into account the strength of the opponent?

A lot of the talk on this site leading up to the game was describing what a weak team Seattle is. One poster went so far as to give advice on how to talk smack to someone who was visiting Seattle that week. One can only hope that that advice was rejected or else the Seattle visitor is likely to be a laughing stock for quite some time.

In any case, if it is true that Seattle is as weak as some posters here thought, wouldn’t that suggest that the Rams are actually much worse than the DVOA indicates?

by WestCoastBuc on Sep 16, 2009 12:23 PM CDT reply actions  

I can’t speak for everyone else, but I went by the very numbers VanRam posted up on this post. DVOA from 2008 showed that the Seahawks had an absolutely horrible Secondary, and with the loss of Marcus Trufant, their best CB, one could only assume they would be very suspect.

That didn’t take into account that our very fast WR’s couldn’t get separation (really what happened?).

The same numbers that said we sucked also said Seattle was weak, so there is my reasoning.

Spagamania is in full bloom

by Eric Nagel on Sep 16, 2009 1:36 PM CDT up reply actions  

I never used that smack gameday

But it was fun telling them the official beer of the seahawks was from st. louis.

by BruinHalo on Sep 17, 2009 9:35 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

If Seattle is that weak...

…we better find some high school and college teams to play against, cause we ain’t even NFL worthy…

by edpjr on Sep 16, 2009 3:30 PM CDT reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about St. Louis Rams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Cletus-the-slack-jawed-yokel-7_small
Attention All Dome Lemmings: Shut Up!
Img_20120429_144716_small
Quick Thoughts: CVC Proposal vs Rams Proposal
Small
New York Giant And Medal Of Honor Winner: 1st Lt Andrew Jackson Lummus
Small
St. Louis Rams:Tough Call - Who Stays And Who Goes In 2013?
Marshall-faulk-1999_small
St. Louis Rams Coaching- The Offensive Line

Recent FanPosts

L50i99-l50i4n0704ohiostaterams_small
Does Mike Karney Deserve A Second Shot?
Small
How many games will the Rams win this coming year??
Small
My Early 53 Man Roster Predictions
Stewie_small
Time To Step Up Bradford
Images_small
Mocking the 53
Small
Rams Land a Litter in Ground-Breaking Trade
Small
40 Years of Ram Football

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

Cover the web with Turf


Managers

71523_170793669601439_100000124211145_596632_5713708_n_small Ryan Van Bibber

Baby_drinking_becks_small 3k

Editors

Jackson_medium_small Eric Nagel

Peter_small VTramsFan

Bugs_bunny_pose_small Douglas M

Authors

Marshall-faulk-1999_small papapegasus

Lggn0229jules-and-vincent-cartoon-pulp-fiction-poster_small Rick Siegel

Images-3_small DCRamFan

Bradford_draft_small Josh Wehrle

Tst_small Tevin Broner

Images_small Brick Top

Plaid_small EddieP

Profile_pic1_small Mike Dietrich

Sp-studio1_small Joe Mazzi

Moderators

Dsc03827_small CoachConnors