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Drafting results

It's time for a history lesson. With the Rams starting a promising new era, I thought it be would be a good time to look back at the high point of the last era, the 1999 Rams. More specifically, as the draft talk really starts to heat up now, I thought it was worth reviewing just what role the draft played in assembling that 1999 team. Just how important was the draft in assembling that lineup?

Six offensive starters that season were drafted by the Rams in the years prior; four of those players came in the first or second round. On defense, five players were drafted by the Rams, four of those players in the first or second rounds of the draft. Broken down year-by-year, those 11 players are:

1994
WR Isaac Bruce 2nd round, 33rd pick
FS Keith Lyle 3rd round, 71st pick
1995
LDE Kevin Carter 1st round, 6th pick
1996
RT Fred Miller 5th round, 141st pick
1997
LT Orlando Pace 1st round, 1st pick
CB Dexter McCleon 2nd round, 40th pick
1998
DE Grant Wistrom 1st round, 6th pick
FB Robert Holcombe 2nd round, 37th pick
PR Az-Zahir Hakim 4th round, 96th pick
TE Roland Williams 4th round, 98th pick
1999
WR Torry Holt 1st round, 6th pick

One name not on that list is Todd Lyght, drafted in the first round in 1991. There are also players on the roster in 1999 who were important players in the Rams run to a title, including Dre' Bly (2nd round, 1999) and Leonard Little (3rd round, 1998) who were not starters that year. Those guys did, however, go on to become key starters in the Rams continued success, including the 2001 Super Bowl. There's also the role of players not acquired through the draft, guys like Marshall Faulk and Kurt Warner, who obviously had their name on the marquee, but the point I'm trying to make here is just how important the draft was in building that powerhouse team. You'll notice especially how many starters came from the 1998 draft, with key building blocks coming in 1997 and 1999 as well.

Going back to the 2005 draft, the Rams have a solid group of players they're counting on to be part of the team's foundation for years to come, guys like CB Ron Bartell, FS OJ Atogwe, DT Adam Carriker, DE Chris Long, and WR Donnie Avery. OL John Greco is expected to emerge as a starter this year, giving the team three starters from the 2008 draft, certifying its success. In the upcoming draft, the Rams need to find players to finish the foundation. The second overall pick from this season must be a face of the team for years to come. Fortunately, there seem to be several players that could fit that bill, but whether Curry, Crabtree, Jason Smith, or Eugene Monroe make the best fit remains to be seen.

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Nice post

having productive drafts is obviously a key to success in the NFL. A study I would like to see (and perhaps it already exists) is one of how many years a player remains a starter in the NFL by position. My gut reaction is that QBs tend to have some of the longest strands of productive years (of course we would have to define productivity by position – or perhaps by starts). My perception is that RBs might have the shortest life-spans (as players), with WRs trailing slightly behind. The best CBs have the option of becoming safeties, who in theory need less speed – so I would think they would slightly outlast WRs. I would then want to surmise how the productivity length affected a positions draft value. Just a thought.

Could the inherent risk of spending a high pick on a QB be offset in part by a longer useful life? Actually running the data is more work than I’m willing to take on to satisfy my curiosity, but maybe it’s something the contributors to this site would be interested in.

by Toddius on Mar 16, 2009 11:00 AM CDT reply actions  

depends on the abuse players take

RBs rarely have a shelf life past 30 years old because of the wear and tear on their legs.

You make a good point about the longevity of QBs, but if that high pick doesn’t work out, the team gets no return on their huge rookie investment. At least with a disappointing o-lineman, a team can get some usefulness out of them even if they don’t live up to first round billing, see Barron, Alex.

by Ryan Van Bibber on Mar 16, 2009 2:14 PM CDT reply actions  

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