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Chapter 2, Week 4 - vs. Buffalo (Sep. 28th)

Rams_logo_small_medium  Bills_logo_small_medium


  I'm going to try to write this with a shred of optimism concerning the fate of this franchise.  As I write this, Linehan is still the head coach, Zygmunt is still the GM, and Trent Green is our starting QB.  I hope all three of these change soon.

  In any case, if you need some nostalgia to restart your optimism engine (or maybe just a good laugh), VanRam provided us with some of Bodog's preseason odds here.  It's either funny or sad, depending on what kind of person you are.  For me, it's sadly funny.

  In spite of the past and in spite of the first three games and out of pure spite, the 3k series rolls on.  Game breakdown after the fold.

Star-divide

For Bills news leading up the game, check out Buffalo Rumblings, our SBN brother here)

 

St. Louis Rams, 0-3, 4th - NFC West

Buffalo Bills, 3-0, 1st - AFC East

 

Parentheses include NFL rankings in that area.

STL pass - 52/89, 146 yds/gm (27th), 2 TD, 2 int, 73.2 rat (21st)

BUF pass D - 43/88, 153.7 yds/gm (5th), 2 TD, 2 int, 8 sacks, 65.1 rat (4th)

This should be fun.  Trent Green comes in to lead one of the weakest pass offenses in the NFL against one of the stingiest pass defenses in the NFL.  To be honest, I didn't think the Bills would be this strong against the pass, and it should be mentioned that the Bills first three games have been against the Seahawks, Jaguars, and Raiders... not exactly passing powerhouses.  Nevertheless, the Rams just haven't shown the ability to pass the ball effectively for four quarters.  I've called for Linehan to be let go at the end of this game.  Maybe, with that kind of speculation, he and offensive coordinator Al Saunders will get a little wacky with the roster and playbook.  The Trent Green move certainly suggests this is the case.  Green has a significant history with Saunders so the thinking might be that he can operate under Saunders' scheme with some efficiency.  They'll have their hands full with this CB group.  The Bills have a solid starting duo in Terrence McGee and Jabari Greer, with a great young duo behind them in Ashton Youboty and rookie standout Leodis McKelvin.  McGee and McKelvin are both ridiculously fast which will not only make for a good matchup if Donnie Avery can get some time at WR, but also on special teams since McKelvin has become the primary kick returner.  Last week against Oakland, McK returned 5 kicks for 137 yards.  Oh Coach Linehan, if only we had a rookie with some speed to return our kicks... and if only his first name was Donnie and his last name started with an 'A' and ended with 'very'...

STL run - 55 rsh, 56.3 yds/gm (32nd), 3.1 yds/carry, 0 TD, long. run 15 yds (32nd)

BUF run D - 78 rsh, 93.7 yds/gm (12th), 3.6 yds/carry, 2 TD, long. run 24 yds (t11th)

Not much to get exicted about here either, really.  The O-line hasn't given Steven Jackson much to work with, and what he has gotten, has hasn't done much with it.  On the other side, the Bills linebacker corps, anchored by former Penn State standout Paul Posluszny, has done a pretty solid job shutting done the run in their three games.  They're young and strong, but if there's a weakness, it's in their depth.  Angelo Crowell, the Bills' leading tackler from '07, is out for the season due to some drama (good rundown of that issue at ESPN's blog network here).  John DiGiorgio, their second-leading tackler, hasn't made much of an impact this season with just 2 tackles.  This group can be passed on, so maybe Green can use Randy McMichael to soften them up and allow Jackson to do what he hasn't done all season: run the ball effectively.

STL O-line - 11 sacks (t-28th)

BUF D-line - 8 sacks (t-9th)

Well, at least we only gave up one sack to Seattle.  Honestly, that's all I want to say about our O-line except that I hope it gets better.  Personally, I'd rather draft a MLB than an OT, so hopefully our O-line can play itself into the 2nd/3rd round need area.  As for the Bills, picking up Marcus Stroud was a great move, and thus the kind the Rams don't make.  After five full seasons, Stroud only played 20 games in his last two seasons at Jacksonville before moving to Buffalo this offseason.  He's powerful, and that strength helps LSU-grad Kyle Williams use his technique.  It's already paying dividends: after no sacks in his rookie season and 2 sacks in his sophomore effort, Williams already has a sack (ironically against his linemate's former team, the Jags), not to mention 9 tackles in his last two games.  While DE Chris Kelsay is more of a run-containing end, he provides a counterbalance to Aaron Schobel who has to be one of the lightest DE's in the league at 243 lbs.  With the advent of the modern DE, the Bills would be wise to bring in a top-tier pass rusher if they want to be more than a 1st-round playoff team.  Although when you play against the Rams, anyone can look like a Pro Bowler.  The Seahawks were forced  to play a guy named Bumpus and he made us look bad.  For shame.

BUF pass - 64/95, 234.7 yds/gm (11th), 4 TD, 1 int, 100.9 rat (8th)

STL pass D - 58/88, 272.3 yds/gm (30th), 7 TD, 0 int, 123.6 (32nd)

Trent Edwards has had a very bright start to his '08 campaign with just one interception so far.  The issue going forward (and even skipping the Rams game) is how he'll be able to overcome a deficit with his receiving options.  Lee Evans is a legit downfield threat and Josh Reed makes for a nice depth option, but without a heavy possession build-type (see Anquan Boldin), I'm definitely not sold on this group.  In any case, the Rams secondary is in enough disarray where I'll be shocked if we can limit the Bills success in the air.  With Fakhir Brown out and Jason Craft in, this group has a lot of question marks.  Hell, it's all question marks.  Expect Lee Evans to have a couple serious plays deep downfield.

BUF run - 85 rsh, 99.0 yds/gm (23rd), 3.5 yds/carry, 4 TD, long. run 21 yds (t-26th)

STL run D - 109 rsh, 184.3 yds/gm (29th), 5.1 yds/carry (27th), 6 TD, lr 32 yds

Surprisingly, Marshawn Lynch hasn't blown up the way I thought he would have to open his sophmore season.  He hasn't gotten a ton of work, though; the last game was his first with at least 20 rushes.  Fred Jackson has seen some significant time as Lynch's backup averaging 7 carries per game.  This tandem should be able to continue St. Louis' defensive woes when it comes to stopping the run.  Another defensive shakeup saw Quinton Culberson replaced by Chris Draft.  Will it help?  Who the hell knows.  It will be hard to do much worse.

BUF O-line - 7 sacks (t-17th)

STL D-line - 3 sacks (t-27th)

For me, this has been the most disappointing unit.  I had high hopes for the right side of the line with Adam Carriker and Chris Long.  To their credit, they might be some of the only guys on the entire team going at full speed the entire game.  Long had 7 tackles last game whie Carriker had 6.  The real problem has been the other two positions on the line.  Leonard Little has been out the last two games which has seen James Hall log a ton of time at DE without being very effective on the corner.  Again, the defensive overhaul has promised Victor Adeyanju will start instead of Hall.  Adeyanju is younger and bigger, so hopefully he'll add a threat that has been lacking in Little's absence.  At DT, La'Roi Glover will be replaced by Clifton Ryan.  The fact that this move took three weeks to figure out is a prime example of why Linehan should be let go after the game.  Regardless, they need to step up their game as a unit against the Bills who have looked vulnerable at times.  While Rams fans have been upset at Steven Jackson's inability to explode after a preseason holdout, Bills fans should be feeling the same about Jason Peters.  The left tackle's holdout was a bit more difficult to resolve, and he's looked very awkward at times so far.  Nevertheless, he has the talent to be dominant.  Aside from Peters, the Bills don't really offer a huge blocking advantage, so hopefully the changes on the Rams D-line can inspire some pressure on Edwards.

This week's top 3 storylines brought to you by quotes from my mama about America's economy:

1.) "I don't know what they're thinking.  I hope they all lose their jobs.": If only my mama cared about the Rams as much as other peoples economic futures.  Really, though, I suggested about two weeks ago that Linehan needed to be let go after this game and I still feel that way.  Anyone else care to agree?

2.) "What were they waiting for?  Where they expecting a letter in the mail telling them what was going to happen?": The current issues with the Rams stem from an inability to acquire meaningful free agents coupled with consistenly poor ineffective draft picks.  Without a new philosophy that could only be brought in by a new GM, any cosmetic changes (i.e. firing Linehan) will only be a band-aid on gunshot wound to the chest.  This team needs a new front office that puts a football team together differently.

3.) "It's going to get worse before it gets better.": Have we hit rock bottom as a team?  Are we at the point where we're ready to commit ourselves to rebuilding and offer up any player of significant trade value to improve the long-term health of the team?  I'm not sure.  Granted, we're not at a point in the season where you could try to guage that from anything coming out of the front office (not to mention they're more preoccupied with trying to keep their jobs than trying to improve the team).  But there was some optimism about this team in the preseason.  That optimism died a grisly death over the month of September and for good reason: the current St. Louis Rams roster doesn't have the cooperative talents to beat many football teams.  My only hope?  Enough of us stay around through this next era of Rams football.  They do say it's darkest before the sunrise, but then again, I've always disagreed with that.

I'm heading to London tomorrow and should be getting home around halftime, so maybe I'll pop my head in to the game thread just in time to see Linehan escorted out of the Edward Jones Dome straight to Lambert and put on a flight home.  It would be a nice way to end the week.

Poll
If Coach Scott Linehan is fired after the game and an interim coach is appointed to run the team only for the rest of this season, who out of the current staff would you like to see step up?
Al Saunders - Offensive Coordinator
58 votes
Jim Haslett - Defensive Coordinator
35 votes
Rick Venturi - Asst. Head Coach / LB Coach
3 votes
Art Valero - Asst. Head Coach / RB Coach
4 votes
Henry Ellard - WR Coach (starting petition to have Ellard play in the slot now...)
25 votes
Al Roberts - Special Teams Coach
7 votes

132 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs | Comment 13 comments

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Comments

Display:

Donnie Avery starting

Just read that as I was finishing this post, so keep that in mind if you were about to lambast me for not mentioning it.

by 3k on Sep 25, 2008 9:23 AM CDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

"It's going to get worse before it gets better."

Even if the Rams committed to rebuilding, I don’t think there any veterans players with trade value.

Your only hope for salvaging your season is if Mark Cuban buys the team, trades for Dirk Nowitzki and Kobe Bryant and makes Chris Long defensive coordinator. Fires Al Saunders, brings in David Shula, he’s giant improvement by leaps and bounds.

This is was once a David Shula’s gameplan for a game against the Redskins, as told by a former Dallas Cowboys tight end: “We were gonna surprise the Redskins by huddling up on the sideline, calling the play, and sprinting to the line of scrimmage and running the play,” says Rob Awalt, the tight end. “First of all, you feel like a goober; like, ‘This is how a bad high school coach might do things.’ But then, to make it worse, we’d run a goddamned fullback dive.”

Absolute genius.

New owner, check.
New offensive coordinator, check.
New defensive coordinator, check.

You guys are on your way .

Are you a trained monkey who just bashes his knuckles on the keyboard and prays for correct sentences!!! - Anonymous quote from the Internets.

by BLUE_Thru-n-Thru on Sep 25, 2008 2:47 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I love you because you remind me that Cowboys fans know nothing about the NFL

No veteran players with trade value? Torry Holt? Marc Bulger? Oh, I forgot about Tony Romo, that “veteran”.
And why fire Al Saunders now? The OC isn’t issue; it’s the GM (there’s a reason Jerry Jones doesn’t want to give it up…)
New owner, no-check.
New OC, no-check.
New DC, no- check.

You Cowboys fans are all the same. Let me explain:
New GM, for the love of God, check. Why? Because a new GM with the right mindset will find the right Head Coach, and fill the OC and DC spots not only to fit with the Head Coach’s personality, but to mesh with the franchise’s philosophy.
A couple thoughts for you: Troy Hambrick, Quincy Carter, Drew Hanson, Chad Hutchinson. O, I love you, but your team is destined for failure.

by 3k on Sep 25, 2008 4:59 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

OK, you got me.

Let’s put it this way, SIGNIFICANT trade value. You’d be lucky if Bulger netted you a 4th rounder and if Holt somewhere around the same. Aside from S. Jackson, who’s not going anywhere, I don’t see any other Rams’ player that could contribute or start for any other team in the NFL right now. Ok, well maybe Bulger and Holt but if you trade them you aren’t left with much at those positions and it’s going to make for an even longer year.

I agree, building a winning, or at least competitive, franchise begins with the front office. Look at Matt Millen and the Lions, that was a complete disaster. I’m not too familiar with your GM but from the looks of it and from what I’ve read on this blog, he’s not a very good at evaluating talent or making offseason transactions that have much impact during the regular season. What’s up with your scouting department? If your GM isn’t very good at gauging player talent wouldn’t it be safe to assume he’d be just as bad when making coaching hires, i.e. Saunders and Haslett (Linehan goes without saying).

Your team ranks last in almost every offensive and defensive category. Player accountability is a given, but when are you going to taking a look at coordinators and questioning whether or not their gameplans are playing to the players strengths.

I would just blow up the coaching staff and bring in a new attitude.

The undisciplined and losing ways of the Switzer, Gailey and Campo eras lingered until we brought in Parcells and he completely overhauled the coaching staff. Give Marty-ball a shot and let him bring in his guys.

If not, there is always plan B. Hire Marshal Faulk as a GM, the man can do no wrong!

Are you a trained monkey who just bashes his knuckles on the keyboard and prays for correct sentences!!! - Anonymous quote from the Internets.

by BLUE_Thru-n-Thru on Sep 25, 2008 7:06 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

My write-in ballot is for that turd, Rush Limbaugh

Are you a trained monkey who just bashes his knuckles on the keyboard and prays for correct sentences!!! - Anonymous quote from the Internets.

by BLUE_Thru-n-Thru on Sep 25, 2008 9:51 AM CDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

My write-in is for

Dave Campo. Cowboys should have stuck with him. He built the team you have now.

by 3k on Sep 25, 2008 11:55 AM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Unfortunately, he's working for the Cowboys right now

so any hire would be after the season.

Honestly, I wouldn’t be at all opposed to Marty Schottenheimer. Plus, they could hire him right now, and let him sift through all the shit for the rest of this season leading up to the offseason.

Nothin'. A handful of nothin'. You stupid mullet head. He beat you with nothin'. Just like today when he kept comin' back at me......with nothin'.

Yeah, well, sometimes nothin' can be a real cool hand.

by Tackle Box on Sep 25, 2008 12:09 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Bills' offensive progress is the story

There’s a good article by John Clayton on the Bills’ new offensive coordinator, and the emphasis they are placing on stretching the field in the passing game. Notable: they cite “8 yards per attempt” as the gold standard for passers, and reconfigured the offensive gameplan to reach it. They succeeded in their first two games, fell short in the third (against the Raiders), and will likely have no trouble reaching it against us.

Article: http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/columns/story?columnist=clayton_john&id=3606110

I was curious about how they drew this line. As it turns out, YPA stats over the past few years show that only an elite few quarterbacks put in a full season at this level:

2007:
1. Tom Brady — 8.32 YPA
2. Tony Romo — 8.10 YPA
3. Payton Manning — 7.85 YPA
/27. Marc Bulger — 6.33 YPA/

2006:
1. Tony Romo — 8.61 YPA
2. Donovan McNabb — 8.38 YPA
3. Drew Brees — 7.98 YPA
/9. Marc Bulger — 7.32 YPA/

2005:
1. Ben Roethlisberger — 8.90 YPA
2. Peyton Manning — 8.27 YPA
3. Marc Bulger — 8.00 YPA

If, as a casual observer of the Rams, it has seemed that our offense has gotten significantly shorter, more conservative, and less effective, here’s another statistical nugget that validates what you’re seeing.

"Attaway to stomp 'em. Stomp the piss out of 'em. Stomp 'em when they're down. Kick 'em and stomp 'em. Attaway to go boys. Pound that old Budweiser into you and go get them tomorrow." -- Joe Schultz

by taiko on Sep 25, 2008 1:03 PM CDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Did you know?

We currently have the oldest team in the league with an average age of 28.3?

Also, ten Rams draft choices from 2006 and 2007 are not on a 53-man roster right now, which is double the league average.

Ouch and ouch.

by bigwood25 on Sep 25, 2008 4:35 PM CDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

The draft reference is the issue

We can’t draft which is a referendum on our management. Zygmunt is unable to get a crew together to advise a head coach on who would fit in his system. It’s pathetic. If we want to start putting the pieces together, we need a real GM. The GM provides the pieces, the head coach puts the puzzle together.

by 3k on Sep 25, 2008 5:01 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

What is that, like 10 out of 14 draft picks?

Nothin'. A handful of nothin'. You stupid mullet head. He beat you with nothin'. Just like today when he kept comin' back at me......with nothin'.

Yeah, well, sometimes nothin' can be a real cool hand.

by Tackle Box on Sep 25, 2008 10:58 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

If not more

One of the worst legacies Zygmunt will leave with this team is a stigma of being irrelevant on draft day. The new GM will have to convince me (and I’m sure many others) that the Rams are willing to make something special happen on draft day.

by 3k on Sep 26, 2008 12:26 AM CDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I'm already convinced

How can anyone be that bad?

Nothin'. A handful of nothin'. You stupid mullet head. He beat you with nothin'. Just like today when he kept comin' back at me......with nothin'.

Yeah, well, sometimes nothin' can be a real cool hand.

by Tackle Box on Sep 26, 2008 12:35 AM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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