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NFL Draft watch: Early Dec. Mock Draft, Picks 1-9

You asked for it, you got it.  3k's early December mock draft, or at least the first third or so of Rd 1.  Enjoy.

Star-divide

1.) Detroit (0-16) - Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma

I just don't see who they can beat.  They're really really bad a every position except WR.  Luckily, the Roy Williams trade gives them some draft options.  Despite the options, the Lions need a QB to galvanize the fan base and get the organization motivated.  If Oklahoma wins the Big 12 championship and beats Alabama, Sam Bradford might come out early as a 3rd-year sophomore.  With all the hype behind him coming off of a Nat'l Championship, playing at a media-heavy position, and maybe winning the Heisman, I don't see anyone else going first.

2.) Seattle (2-14) - Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech

Seattle needs youth and talent in their receiving corps.  With Crabtree, you get a phenomenal talent who has ony played better in the big games.  Another third-year sophomore, but I don't think Tech can repeat the success they had this year, and he might be hesitant to stick around and risk injury next year knowing this year was their best chance.

3.) Cincinnati (2-13-1) - Jeremy Maclin, WR, Missouri

Cincinnati will, in all likelihood, not re-sign T.J. Houshmandzadeh, and Chad Johnson won't be there much longer.  The front office has often said they are not interested in keeping older WR's on the team, so they would be a nice fit for Maclin, a super athlete who could assume return duties and give them a great option in the passing game.  Another third-year sophomore... any upper classmen want to get drafted?

4.) Oakland (3-13; str. of sched.=138) - Andre Smith, OT, Alabama

Another tough one for me.  This pick, however, allows them to get over the Robert Gallery bust and provide more protection for JaMarcus Russell and Darren McFadden.  The Raiders could be two years away from being a very, very good team with that offensive duo and the least known shutdown CB in the league, Nnamdi Asomugha.  That's why I struggled with this one; the Raiders might go for Malcolm Jenkins (CB, Ohio St.) or Vontae Davis (CB, Illinois) so that when Asomugha leaves, assuming he does, they still have a top CB in the secondary.  Still waiting for the Rams to show up?

5.) Kansas City (3-13; str. of sched.=144) - Matthew Stafford, QB, Georgia

This was a tough one for me, because I could definitely see KC drafting the best lineman on the board at whatever position they end up at, but the chance to get a real franchise QB will probably be too tempting.  Especially if they can sit him for a year behind Croyle while they continue to rebuild.  I saw Stafford play in high school and just laughed at 2 or 3 throws.  His arm is phenomenal, he has great poise under pressure (think Roethlisberger), and his touch is great.  He's got all the tools.  Having a nice junior year too.

6.) San Francisco (4-12; str. of sched.=120) - Vontae Davis, CB, Illinois

Davis would be a nice complement to CB Nate Clements to help improve the league's 29th worst passing defense.  This one came down to Davis vs. Jenkins; Jenkins is but stronger and larger, and thus similar to Clements.  So that's NFC West teams in Seattle and San Fran, meaning St. Louis finishes 2nd in the division.  Scary thought.

7.) St. Louis (4-12; str. of sched.=132) - Michael Oher, OT, Ole Miss

The first senior to come off the board in this mock.  Oher helps our struggling O-line and takes some pressure off of Orlando Pace.  With Pace's recent injuries, it also addresses the depth at the position so that,  if/when Pace gets injured next year, Oher and Alex Barron would hold down the tackle position.  Think this is too high for St. Lou?  I projected this based on wins against Seattle and San Fran.  Losses to either of those two pushes us up higher on the board...and puts a ton more pressure to trade down.

8.) Jacksonville (4-12; str. of sched.=137) - Brian Orakpo, DE, Texas

Orakpo and Michael Johnson (Georgia Tech) are the two strongest DEs in the draft.  Orakpo is faster and more agile, Johnson is just huge.  The Jags need a real pass rush threat because Paul Spicer isn't getting it done.  What a disappointing year for the Jags.

9.) Cleveland (4-12; str. of sched.=142) - Chris "Beanie" Wells, HB, Ohio St.

The Browns need some speed in their ground game.  Jamal Lewis can still pound, but he's lost much of the acceleration he had when he played for Tennessee and then for Baltimore in the NFL.  This gives the Browns a powerful offense with Wells, Edwards and Winslow providing a triple threat and Joe Thomas (best OT in the league?) paving the way.

Well, that's it for this edition.  Top 9 picks are all 4-win teams or worse, so if St. Louis, like I mentioned, loses, their status increases.  Of course if they lose to either SF or Seattle, who are on this list, that helps our draft position.  Yak it up.

0 recs  |  Comment 11 comments

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Comments

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Good work, 3K...

though it’s hard for me to see this team winning more than a game, at best…it could happen, I guess…there ARE a lot of bad teams in the league this year, aren’t there?

by tbell61 on Dec 4, 2008 4:08 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Keep in mind

The two games I have us winning are at home against Seattle, and at home against San Fran. Honestly, at this point I’d rather lose them both for draft position, but we’ll just have to see. And yes, there are some very bad teams in the NFL.

Jay Zygmunt, fire yourself.

by 3k on Dec 4, 2008 4:13 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Not only would I rather we lose those game

but I think we will lost those games. Well, at least one of them.

Our country reeks of trees. Our yaks are really large. And they smell like rotting beef carcasses. And we have to clean up after them. And our saddle sores are the best. We proudly wear women's clothing. While searing sand blows up our skirts.

And the buzzards, they soar overhead. And poisonous snakes will devour us whole. Our bones will bleach in the sun. And we will probably go to hell. And that is our great reward. For be-ing the-uh Ro-yal Canadian Kilted Yaksmen!

by Tackle Box on Dec 5, 2008 10:14 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

For reference: the Jimmy Johnson Draft Value Chart

This is the chart devised by the Cowboys, probably around the time he traded Herschel Walker for six or seven picks. Useful for plotting a “Rams trade down” scenario.

http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/draft06/news/story?id=2410670

"Attaway to stomp 'em. Stomp the piss out of 'em. Stomp 'em when they're down. Kick 'em and stomp 'em. Attaway to go boys. Pound that old Budweiser into you and go get them tomorrow." -- Joe Schultz

by taiko on Dec 4, 2008 4:09 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

I was a proponent of a trade last year

and if we’ve got one of the top 6 picks, I’ll be one this year. With two mid- to late first round picks, we could grab a linebacker and OT. If we keep a top 6 pick, we’ll probably have to take an OT; the LBs would be a bit of a stretch. By the time we get to the 2nd round, the LB picks will be a bit spotty, but the O-line options should be plentiful. So I’m hoping for a trade down, and by the end of the 2nd, an OT, an LB, and a C.

Jay Zygmunt, fire yourself.

by 3k on Dec 4, 2008 4:16 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Good advice

I’m not one to argue with 3k. I was a big proponent of drafting a QB early, mostly because of my direct displeasure with Bulger’s inept abilities. But 3k makes a fine point.

"Wherever you go, there you are" - Buckaroo Bonzai

by brik on Dec 4, 2008 4:46 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I would rather wait until 2009 or 2010 to draft a QB

I still think we should build up the holes besides QB so that when we do draft a QB, we can say “the team is set and it’s time to win.” Look at the Atlanta model. Young, talented, no off-field issues; that’s the way we need to put this team back together.

Jay Zygmunt, fire yourself.

by 3k on Dec 4, 2008 4:55 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

I noticed that it said "If Oklahoma wins the Big 12 championship and beats Alabama"

You must be very confident in Alabama over Florida to write that.

I have witnessed time and time again.

by srdmad on Dec 5, 2008 12:04 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Mental error

I meant no prediction. I actually think Bama-UF will be closer than most people are saying. In the O-line draft preview I wrote on Wed., here, I talked about who I would be watchin and didn’t imply who I thought would win. Apologies if my slip here irritates any TST readers who are Gator fans.

Jay Zygmunt, fire yourself.

by 3k on Dec 5, 2008 1:12 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

You're slippin' 3k.

Too much of that 50" flat panel frying your brain….. or corneas.

"Remember this. Bear Bryant retired at age 69, and he died 28 days after he stopped coaching. If you don't have something, and a purpose in your life, you're gonna die."- Lou Holtz (funny old man)

by BLUE_Thru-n-Thru on Dec 5, 2008 9:56 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

HAHAHAA

Big Blue. Too bad the Cowboys won’t get a pick worth anything. Roy Williams sure is doing a lot….

Jay Zygmunt, fire yourself.

by 3k on Dec 5, 2008 11:40 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

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